NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e2a1add81b27f3378c3bde0cba352ed7c944be5291477f9d97bf14dd3d1f7a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Celtics, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8165…f688backed Raptors | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,599.98 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 53c | 19,865$10,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,457.71 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Raptors | 46c | 16,184$7,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,659.69 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Raptors | 48c | 7,292$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,791.67 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Celtics | 49c | 5,619$2,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,779.68 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Celtics | 48c | 5,598$2,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,687.18 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Celtics | 52c | 4,170$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.4 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Celtics | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Raptors | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Raptors | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.23 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Celtics | 53c | 2,225$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.38 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Raptors | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Celtics | 48c | 1,985$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.64 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 51c | 1,976$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.53 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 38c | 1,787$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.24 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Raptors | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.9 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Celtics | 51c | 1,346$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.91 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Celtics | 48c | 1,322$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.76 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Celtics | 51c | 1,314$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.35 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Celtics | 51c | 1,306$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Celtics | 54c | 851.85$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Celtics | 4c | 700$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 158 | 7%11 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Celtics | 48c | 627$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.96 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Celtics | 52c | 604.68$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.13 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Raptors | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Celtics | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Celtics | 52c | 550$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Raptors | 48c | 550$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5099…7d87backed Celtics | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 5%2 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Raptors | 48c | 415.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.23 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d1…8a29backed Raptors | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Celtics | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Celtics | 51c | 363.3$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.3 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Celtics | 48c | 308.37$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.02 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Raptors | 48c | 305.21$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.71 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Celtics | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Celtics | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Celtics | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raptors | 39c | 246.4$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.03 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Raptors | 37c | 184.63$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.73 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Celtics | 51c | 172.76$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 47c | 155$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.15 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Raptors | 53c | 133$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.51 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Raptors | 45c | 115.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Celtics | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Celtics | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Raptors | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Celtics | 51c | 83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Raptors | 47c | 80.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Celtics | 48c | 72.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Raptors | 45c | 69.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…a96dbacked Celtics | 51c | 66.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Raptors | 47c | 62.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…981dbacked Raptors | 49c | 55.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Celtics | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…df20backed Raptors | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Raptors | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Raptors | 48c | 48.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Celtics | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Celtics | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…0cc9backed Celtics | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1271backed Celtics | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 133 | 38.3%51 W · 82 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Celtics | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Raptors | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Celtics | 34c | 30.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Raptors | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Raptors | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Raptors | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Raptors | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x756d…04a9backed Celtics | 53c | 20.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Raptors | 73c | 15.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Celtics won
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Raptors vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Raptors vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Raptors vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Over won
- Spread: Celtics (-10.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.