NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0153a5dc43f4d7f131ab4d0ecf1162512e1e0c8dd089f5df372edb43c55043e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Celtics, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Raptors | 53c | 19,020$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,020.09 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics | 56c | 12,500$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.98 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Raptors | 45c | 6,277$2,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,455.57 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Celtics | 53c | 6,098$3,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,209 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cd…5751backed Raptors | 50c | 5,600$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Celtics | 51c | 5,532$2,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,822.5 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Raptors | 49c | 4,092$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093.3 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Raptors | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 41c | 3,794$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231.2 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Celtics | 56c | 3,671$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.07 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Raptors | 50c | 2,995$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.5 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x546b…c246backed Celtics | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a36…7b9cbacked Celtics | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Celtics | 54c | 2,678$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.91 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Celtics | 47c | 2,013$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.16 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…5af4backed Celtics | 71c | 1,944$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.45 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Celtics | 51c | 1,871$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.92 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Raptors | 47c | 1,871$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.58 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Celtics | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Raptors | 46c | 1,753$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.19 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f40…92b2backed Celtics | 49c | 1,520$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Raptors | 44c | 1,495$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.91 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Celtics | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Raptors | 18c | 1,077$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.46 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Celtics | 6c | 1,050$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.71 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…fe1abacked Celtics | 57c | 1,038$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.9 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Celtics | 47c | 994.99$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.65 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors | 45c | 841.83$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.01 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Raptors | 44c | 815.54$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.86 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0c4abacked Raptors | 51c | 810$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.9 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Celtics | 54c | 807$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.55 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Celtics | 5c | 800$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 158 | 7%11 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Raptors | 47c | 799.99$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…a7d1backed Raptors | 51c | 773$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.77 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41dc…7ca9backed Celtics | 50c | 773$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Raptors | 50c | 769.5$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.75 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd863…6905backed Raptors | 51c | 754$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.46 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe251…3575backed Celtics | 50c | 754$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Celtics | 54c | 738.53$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3441…6e5ebacked Celtics | 50c | 722$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4899…9db1backed Raptors | 51c | 722$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561b…837ebacked Raptors | 51c | 710$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.9 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Raptors | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Raptors | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Raptors | 43c | 681.87$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.31 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Raptors | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Raptors | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics | 56c | 466.52$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.5 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 50c | 458.08$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.33 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Raptors | 51c | 420$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.8 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca9…a291backed Raptors | 46c | 420$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Celtics | 46c | 418$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.28 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Celtics | 50c | 405.71$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.43 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Celtics | 52c | 400$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.57 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Raptors | 43c | 343.58$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.4 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Celtics | 52c | 340.69$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.98 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad44…db14backed Raptors | 49c | 307$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Raptors | 17c | 306.68$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.12 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Raptors | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…3438backed Raptors | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Raptors | 47c | 257.63$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.97 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Celtics | 51c | 252.33$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.69 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Celtics | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Celtics | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 85 | 12.9%11 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Celtics | 67c | 224.18$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.43 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Raptors | 35c | 217.04$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.07 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Raptors | 49c | 210$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Celtics | 56c | 203.32$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.3 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Celtics | 56c | 201.67$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.94 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Celtics | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Raptors | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Raptors | 45c | 190.6$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.28 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Raptors | 44c | 177.25$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.23 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors | 45c | 173.6$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.68 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics | 50c | 159$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Celtics | 50c | 149.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Celtics | 56c | 137.15$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.17 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Raptors | 51c | 123.29$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.41 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da7…5a40backed Celtics | 54c | 122.22$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…1f12backed Celtics | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Celtics | 78c | 117.9$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.36 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…089abacked Raptors | 45c | 111.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8db…c659backed Celtics | 58c | 105.17$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Raptors | 44c | 104.55$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.55 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090d…e0efbacked Raptors | 49c | 102.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Raptors | 41c | 102.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89a7…e7dbbacked Raptors | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Celtics | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 59.1%94 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a20…af22backed Raptors | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Raptors | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Raptors | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Raptors | 42c | 99.66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.77 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Raptors | 45c | 99.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Raptors | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba3…1aafbacked Raptors | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Celtics | 56c | 94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Raptors | 46c | 89.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…9531backed Celtics | 58c | 87.76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 367 | 51.5%189 W · 178 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Celtics | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Celtics | 55c | 78.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Celtics won
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Raptors vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Raptors vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Raptors vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Over won
- Spread: Celtics (-10.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.