TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$123,805
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,290

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,805 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under50c37,577$18,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,844.712,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c21,419$10,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,926.359,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over50c15,364$7,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,682.6657950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over50c15,229$7,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,550.392,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under50c10,000$4,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,981.181,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0352…3292backed Under51c9,000$4,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,628.8610158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ac4…3081backed Under51c6,126$3,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,124.346454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c5,445$2,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,686.463,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6001,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over51c4,575$2,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,257.191,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00047856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under52c3,846$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00080737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c3,537$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,772.66,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Over48c3,446$1,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7924734%16 W · 31 L-6.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Over53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,41016633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under50c2,856$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.081,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under52c2,836$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.832,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over51c2,414$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.8687750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under50c2,386$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.912,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c1,803$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.424,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over51c1,659$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.911,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under53c1,596$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84650754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over49c1,212$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.122,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over51c953$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.9785147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x947c…79b5backed Over53c939.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.29837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Over52c540.6$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.4941652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Under49c441.29$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.3218438.6%71 W · 113 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Over49c435$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.6520353.7%109 W · 94 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Under51c408.98$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.140648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19621858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Under53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15024556.3%138 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over50c260$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13013951.1%71 W · 68 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Under48c256.98$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.3554351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c248.71$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.018,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Over48c191.15$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.430452.6%160 W · 144 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over49c184.38$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.112,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over51c160$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.434451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under50c150.1$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93c8…61c4backed Over49c132.65$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.65757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over50c112.98$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.351,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over48c112.5$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.554246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Over49c101$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5162541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5195548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4824946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x097c…2542backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.04683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+47.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over51c90$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.123153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf572…065abacked Under52c86$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.725750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Under47c84.87$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9416036.3%58 W · 102 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over51c84$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1662349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over51c84$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1671747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over51c84$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1631754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over49c75.2$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3539756.7%225 W · 172 L+21.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under47c71.82$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5693849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over51c66$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3434053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over51c66$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3434254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.473445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.433147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Over51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.46453.1%34 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under50c52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.111,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0d9…da5ebacked Under49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254339.5%17 W · 26 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.531250.3%157 W · 155 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Under22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8414727.2%40 W · 107 L-21.7wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-43.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x213a…c46dbacked Under52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Under48c45.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8223845.4%108 W · 130 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Over49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.428943.3%125 W · 164 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Over51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.628852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.623348.9%114 W · 119 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.631551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0548…9e1cbacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206656.1%37 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f33…0ecabacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a71…4f0fbacked Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-32.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4631745.4%144 W · 173 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over51c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6220456.4%115 W · 89 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb5f…4884backed Under52c37.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.326155.7%34 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over51c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6436651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over51c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6415051.3%77 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over51c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6487647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over51c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6623753.6%127 W · 110 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over51c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6627350.9%139 W · 134 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over51c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6622048.6%107 W · 113 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over51c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6632649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over51c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6623850.8%121 W · 117 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over51c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6627251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over51c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6631852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66fb…0cc9backed Over61c33.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.051030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-47.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56d2…7afcbacked Over49c30.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.445261.5%32 W · 20 L+6.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+31.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.725250.8%128 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.727353.8%147 W · 126 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.727150.2%136 W · 135 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Under51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1518339.3%72 W · 111 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0cb5…6a69backed Over48c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.043040%12 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f2d…241bbacked Under48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Under50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.639736.3%144 W · 253 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd24…1638backed Over52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over51c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7624552.7%129 W · 116 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over51c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7614648.6%71 W · 75 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over51c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7645251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.