NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ec2ece1e3bc4682ee2cf962ef0e321118235bd1565c57c872b8054a7cc2768e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36e6…6894backed Over | 48c | 23,705$11,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,354.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +49%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 21,089$10,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,879.72 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Under | 52c | 15,199$7,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,865.23 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 52c | 13,809$7,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,141.08 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 5,315$2,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,753.88 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 52c | 3,959$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058.68 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 53c | 3,777$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 3,588$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.97 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 2,896$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.27 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Over | 49c | 2,537$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.81 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 2,385$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.89 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 50c | 2,353$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.5 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Under | 54c | 2,200$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 2,020$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.8 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…b852backed Under | 52c | 1,700$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 53c | 1,693$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.3 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 1,364$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.94 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Over | 50c | 1,150$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Under | 55c | 1,099$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c19…3ec0backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under | 54c | 918$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 49c | 819$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.69 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa3…a86fbacked Over | 50c | 768$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…1dafbacked Under | 51c | 768$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ba…b202backed Over | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 53c | 500$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.5 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 52c | 481$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.12 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 52c | 400$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.18 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 3c | 394$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Under | 52c | 385.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 44c | 352$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.88 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 47c | 347$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.91 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 30c | 340.02$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.25 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 57c | 290$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.97 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x794f…9c33backed Over | 51c | 244.34$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 20c | 240.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 59c | 202.45$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.14 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 57c | 200.82$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.82 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Under | 52c | 192.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 50c | 182.47$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.24 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 27c | 164.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 53c | 159.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.79 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 53c | 126.27$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 51c | 105.83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 59.1%94 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 47c | 94.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 53c | 92.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 54c | 82.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…dd60backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Under | 19c | 81.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 18c | 75.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…7b98backed Under | 53c | 72.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Over | 49c | 65.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…9218backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 47c | 61.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…4083backed Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x602c…531fbacked Under | 54c | 56.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 47c | 51.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908d…1d99backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Under | 53c | 47.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…6633backed Under | 46c | 45.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…fb93backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 38c | 40.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 48c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf46…a799backed Under | 54c | 36.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf4…b8e4backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x121a…91b7backed Under | 51c | 30.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefda…fadcbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 48c | 29.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…3022backed Under | 51c | 28.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 45c | 25.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f20…0100backed Over | 47c | 21.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Under | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 55c | 20.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Celtics won
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Raptors vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Raptors vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Raptors vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5Over won
- Spread: Celtics (-10.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.