TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,533
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,955

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,533 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x36e6…6894backed Over48c23,705$11,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,354.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+49%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over48c21,089$10,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,879.722,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Under52c15,199$7,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,865.2311656.9%66 W · 50 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under52c13,809$7,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,141.082,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under52c5,315$2,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,753.885,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under52c3,959$2,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,058.686,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Under53c3,777$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00148448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c3,588$1,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,892.979,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over49c2,896$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.272,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Under52c2,885$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5007245.8%33 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Over49c2,537$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.8116633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under43c2,385$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.898,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over50c2,353$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.558347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Under54c2,200$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18822055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under52c2,020$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.83,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02049142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf2…b852backed Under52c1,700$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.561450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under53c1,693$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.31,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over45c1,364$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.944,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Over50c1,150$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57541652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Under55c1,099$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60015756.7%89 W · 68 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c19…3ec0backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under54c918$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over49c819$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.692,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaa3…a86fbacked Over50c768$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3841258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c9…1dafbacked Under51c768$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.681136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10ba…b202backed Over50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3502360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3061,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under53c500$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.51,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under52c481$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.122,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under52c400$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.182,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Under53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21228751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under3c394$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.822,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7289…8d16backed Under52c385.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013354.1%72 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under44c352$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.881,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over47c347$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.9140146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under30c340.02$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.252,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over57c290$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.9783039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x794f…9c33backed Over51c244.34$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.34450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+70.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under20c240.2$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.933,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over59c202.45$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1488845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over57c200.82$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.8263745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e7c…d12fbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006735.8%24 W · 43 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11041052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Under52c192.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8814647.9%70 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Under50c182.47$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2423250.4%117 W · 115 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Under27c164.28$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3631144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under53c159.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.791,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over47c127.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6654246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under53c126.27$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.662,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under51c105.83$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.082,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0433246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5074547.2%352 W · 393 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5135739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015959.1%94 W · 65 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under47c94.34$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3480744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under53c92.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4962546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under54c82.7$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4526956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9443…dd60backed Over49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.631330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.25per pick56cpaid-48.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Under19c81.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2612727.6%35 W · 92 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under18c75.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6330616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf4ec…7b98backed Under53c72.45$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.44639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Over49c65.11$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2122247.3%105 W · 117 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2599…9218backed Over47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8311761.5%72 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over47c61.9$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.81,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d29…4083backed Under51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.617341%71 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x602c…531fbacked Under54c56.44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid+28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over47c51.17$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1218438.6%71 W · 113 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x908d…1d99backed Under52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.257640.8%31 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Under53c47.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2742143.7%184 W · 237 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacd8…6633backed Under46c45.93$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2130%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…fb93backed Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.671050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under38c40.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.642551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Under52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.837959.4%225 W · 154 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.466143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over48c39.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8268940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x033f…b8cabacked Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013352.6%70 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf46…a799backed Under54c36.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7311151.4%57 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf4…b8e4backed Over49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.612642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x121a…91b7backed Under51c30.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefda…fadcbacked Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151020%2 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over48c29.13$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2493849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x097f…3022backed Under51c28.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.54714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick47cpaid-81.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Over45c25.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0312560%75 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f20…0100backed Over47c21.74$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc427…ee41backed Under53c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.134757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under55c20.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.441354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.