NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc4fa9c9bc08765813cd87f7107c042eb740835e824a02c66eb25f42c445e9af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $307,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $311,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $307,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Under | 47c | 93,000$43,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,710 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 53c | 92,734$49,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,584.79 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 50c | 70,000$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,000 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 51c | 52,551$26,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,974.69 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 49c | 46,248$22,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,888.03 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 43,788$22,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,476.26 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 32,776$15,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,699.4 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Over | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 9,287$4,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,643.5 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d6…c7c6backed Over | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 52c | 6,760$3,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,245.03 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Over | 52c | 6,664$3,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,198.72 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbea3…be9abacked Under | 47c | 5,957$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 51c | 5,036$2,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.64 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 52c | 4,660$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.8 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4466…9ad1backed Under | 47c | 4,065$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.22 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 47c | 4,053$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.8 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Over | 53c | 3,333$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.51 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 3,302$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.94 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…05cbbacked Under | 48c | 2,557$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked Under | 48c | 2,358$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.74 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 2,179$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.6 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Under | 48c | 1,629$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.92 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 71c | 1,580$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.87 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 52c | 1,164$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.74 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Over | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.11 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 1,008$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.76 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Over | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 50c | 816.41$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.21 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 47c | 809.25$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.81 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 50c | 769.68$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.84 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 49c | 644$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.56 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Over | 53c | 573.19$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.4 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 50c | 525$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Under | 47c | 441.77$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.63 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Under | 47c | 418$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.46 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Over | 54c | 273.04$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.6 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Under | 48c | 272.92$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 44c | 244.18$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.73 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ae…3020backed Over | 54c | 239.77$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.29 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 48c | 229.17$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 47c | 199$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.53 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…2b21backed Over | 54c | 157.54$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.47 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 153.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.91 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 53c | 128.3$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 49c | 121.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabba…e3ebbacked Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 54c | 110.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.83 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Under | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -21.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Under | 48c | 99.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236d…5e45backed Over | 55c | 91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 24c | 80.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Under | 44c | 79.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…bd0bbacked Under | 50c | 79.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -6.4wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…fb93backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 52c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce65…6759backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -16.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -30%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f7…db44backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…709abacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 50c | 41.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9cf4backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Under | 49c | 37.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d1…0c7bbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89a7…e7dbbacked Over | 80c | 30.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 43c | 28.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Over | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 52c | 24.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Over | 54c | 22.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 120 | 62.5%75 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Over | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Celtics won
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Raptors vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Raptors vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Raptors vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Over won
- Spread: Celtics (-10.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.