TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6008…fb93

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NFL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 56 out of 100; worst Asian League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+203%+$40.61
Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hawks vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Hawks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$36.92
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+51.5%+$11.85
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$21.54
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Spread: Rams (-10.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
All 4 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Panthers vs. Senatorsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Flames vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US capture Khamenei before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+52.4%+$10.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+35.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+170.3%+$51.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$45
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.