Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59d2917f5ec60d3064ac0fb2e98184afe6ee54a834bd8cd2e177e02d06b4c056
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $238,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $240,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Under | 59c | 169,831$99,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,993.38 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 41c | 80,258$32,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,352.36 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 41c | 28,198$11,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,636.53 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Over | 41c | 22,272$9,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,140.43 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 12,426$7,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,362.2 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,900 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,899.99 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 41c | 9,865$4,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,818.45 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 42c | 9,302$3,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,355.42 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 59c | 6,403$3,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,778.5 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Over | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 42c | 4,625$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,682.23 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 1c | 2,991$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 41c | 1,261$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.05 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 28c | 1,162$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.47 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Over | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 43c | 939.05$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.26 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…d361backed Over | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 41c | 800$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over | 42c | 597.6$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.61 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 59c | 566.63$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.53 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…e4f6backed Over | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 43c | 450$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.5 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 41c | 425.85$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.53 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 41c | 420$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.8 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 41c | 420$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.8 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 41c | 420$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.8 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 57c | 380.61$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.95 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 41c | 330$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.7 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 41c | 330$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.7 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Over | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 57c | 299.99$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.99 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 41c | 257.45$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.9 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 45c | 250$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.45 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 41c | 250$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Over | 39c | 250$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Under | 50c | 231.04$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.33 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 58c | 221.72$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.6 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Over | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 57c | 199.19$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.54 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 41c | 190$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.1 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 41c | 180$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 41c | 180$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 41c | 180$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 41c | 170$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 41c | 170$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 41c | 170$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 41c | 170$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 41c | 170$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 41c | 170$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 41c | 170$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 42c | 164.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.29 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 39c | 161.61$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.57 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 25c | 160$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Over | 38c | 155$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.85 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 146.05$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.03 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 59c | 126.34$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.54 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed Under | 60c | 117.57$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.66 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Over | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 42c | 91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 42c | 83.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…3da2backed Over | 41c | 82.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +10.9wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Over | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 76.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Over | 40c | 74.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 41c | 72.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 42c | 71.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 41c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 57c | 63.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5this page
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5Over won
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5Over won
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FC Union Berlin (-1.5)1. FSV Mainz 05 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.