TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-01-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,908
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$175,155

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,908 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No32c18,441$5,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,953.1898844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes59c17,027$10,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,992.99742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No42c10,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.9912055%66 W · 54 L+12.6wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Yes54c8,496$4,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,891.64580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+68.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes58c8,394$4,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,525.684148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2ad…bcdabacked Yes62c3,051$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.33560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+138.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked No43c3,021$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.822259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed No5c2,834$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.721241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick31cpaid-8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No29c2,775$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.9233444%147 W · 187 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No39c2,352$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.3846644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Yes57c1,980$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.31862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes58c1,967$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.1913933.8%47 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Yes52c1,851$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.57966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No44c1,687$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.0543748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No25c1,620$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.9547850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No46c1,211$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.0620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No46c1,200$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55222852.2%119 W · 109 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No44c1,169$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.2228659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed No46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed No43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes57c984.91$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.8422652.7%119 W · 107 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed No21c968.89$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.911136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No40c870.26$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.519345.1%87 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0801…35cbbacked Yes59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+39.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed No46c772.7$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.352152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes58c769.77$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.5630055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No43c761.92$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.631844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked No43c578.75$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508949.4%44 W · 45 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Yes57c562.02$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.67933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+65.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Yes61c538.23$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.912045%9 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes59c515.01$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.1523551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed No22c499.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe930…b44dbacked Yes59c499.99$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2051330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-48.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No43c497.28$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.678051.3%41 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked No47c490.25$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-56.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No49c489$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.611428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No46c476.27$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.081478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Yes57c388$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.841883.3%15 W · 3 L+6.2wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+67.4%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xf66e…62d3backed Yes59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1231030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-46.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Yes80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602470.8%17 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed No40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No29c296.69$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7212532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No46c263.34$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.132653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505945.8%27 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x882e…54cebacked Yes80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+46.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007435.1%26 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes57c230$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.96746.3%31 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes58c206.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.91172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc5e…e946backed Yes59c204.42$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Yes65c190.42$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.653250%16 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.443531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4597…272bbacked Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-44.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.934634.8%16 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+39.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723540%14 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+52.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x789b…4c08backed No30c149.33$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.42862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No42c138$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.961154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed No44c136.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.783333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed No40c122.48$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.122770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.24744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed No42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…fb93backed Yes59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.69450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a7d…c3a6backed No46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f7e…b3f4backed Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9058…a2c2backed No41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+33.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes61c90.16$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.166850%34 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.724740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked No45c87.7$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.131566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No21c81.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.864242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x92ae…a7b0backed No41c77.24$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+51.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No21c74.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.344946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes58c65.52$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.521931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2382…4628backed No48c62.52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.141060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No45c62.03$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.917549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x760e…bcfebacked No24c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e9f…5b6fbacked No45c58.67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+50.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28bb…d0d6backed No40c56.64$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.892161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed No46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed No34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.91560%9 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+66.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed No20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ab1…b7d7backed Yes60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedfd…1432backed Yes59c49.15$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.151957.9%11 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+40.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe6f…43dcbacked No40c47.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…807dbacked No46c46.61$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes66c45.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4416865.5%110 W · 58 L+22.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xf572…065abacked Yes58c45$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa64b…1e4bbacked Yes79c43.6$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Yes66c42.93$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.61040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bb8…71f0backed No46c40.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked No44c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.63652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x167c…a88bbacked No47c38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x362d…dc94backed Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked No45c33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No46c31.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.441020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No46c30.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147048.6%34 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b0…2554backed No43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x582f…d84dbacked No40c28.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01d9…1c24backed No42c25.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.