Australian A League · resolved market
Will Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87f8ad3240cfd6f02f217c95d05411e0caf8b05db2ded90c7ed8898f713e52b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 3c | 1,647$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…1e6cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,050$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9024…a444backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 964.44$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.31 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 76c | 723.05$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.68 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…8083backed Yes | 24c | 541.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 76c | 328$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 280.22$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.05 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 77c | 229.87$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 90 | 65.6%59 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 25c | 168$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 24c | 100.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7e…b3f4backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 24c | 80.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…d6e9backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…c6a8backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca7…8410backed Yes | 26c | 56.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 54.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96cd…814abacked Yes | 26c | 54.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff7…4ae6backed Yes | 26c | 50.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e4…4386backed Yes | 26c | 49.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1e…5bdfbacked Yes | 26c | 45.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed No | 76c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de4…b2f8backed Yes | 26c | 40.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5a…6ca4backed Yes | 26c | 39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6b…aaa8backed No | 75c | 19.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…101abacked No | 75c | 19.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 77c | 19.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…ae9fbacked No | 76c | 17.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98e…e2ccbacked No | 75c | 17.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d96…1bdcbacked No | 75c | 17.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4e…eb4ebacked No | 76c | 17.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…45bebacked No | 75c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 74c | 16.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 60 | 80%48 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1f…64d4backed No | 75c | 15.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa515…7b19backed No | 76c | 15.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…fd13backed No | 75c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817f…b97cbacked No | 76c | 14.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf20…1715backed No | 75c | 14.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…2be6backed No | 76c | 14.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd94c…57f3backed No | 75c | 14.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…2baabacked No | 75c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfc…1869backed No | 75c | 13.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f9…9aefbacked No | 75c | 13.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2c…71adbacked No | 75c | 13.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…c503backed No | 75c | 13.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-01-10?No won
- Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-01-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.