TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa7b0…2554

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-63.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.15
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$229.61
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$21.6
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$46.4
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$93
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$824Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$824.17
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+33%+$52.05
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$226.56
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.6
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.01
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.07
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$523.34
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.59
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.44
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.71
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.71
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.03
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.78
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will Cameroon vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Cameroon vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+80.2%+$8.9
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.48
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Stoke City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+25.1%+$6.3
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$11.7
Chelsea FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+100%+$15
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick25cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Ducksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Jets vs. Hurricanesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Maple Leafs vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+66.7%+$8
Lightning vs. Red Wingsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+85.2%+$10.22
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-63.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed Real Betis Balompié · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick21cpaid+212.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+525%+$84
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$164.39
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+163.2%+$18.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hawks vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+229.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+229.2%+$55.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+65.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+65.3%+$7.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 2% on any day in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nott'm Forest win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$6.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will eBay (EBAY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Washington vs CSDIILIT (BO3)backed Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Copper (HG) settle over $6.00 on the final trading day of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$150.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.