Champions League · resolved market
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9b2552b8dc5f0f4e9fe9f20bea997a24ac9dff55c2eb0aa59e3bb4a6fbb1f92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $439,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $436,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $439,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 320 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x62a1…f032backed Yes | 26c | 40,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 25c | 35,000$8,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,899.99 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 75c | 29,919$22,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,480 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 29,147$22,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,045.58 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 27,308$7,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,056.61 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked No | 76c | 22,264$16,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,343.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 27c | 20,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 74c | 17,576$13,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,569.8 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 17,029$12,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,255.4 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 25c | 13,563$3,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,437.49 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 74c | 11,000$8,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…3a9abacked Yes | 5c | 8,836$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 74c | 8,198$6,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.48 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 6,912$5,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.53 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 6,323$4,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.02 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 74c | 6,024$4,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.98 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Yes | 24c | 6,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 74c | 5,600$4,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 26c | 4,666$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.15 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 74c | 4,539$3,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.19 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -8.6wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Yes | 27c | 4,452$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +88%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 26c | 4,444$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.41 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Yes | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +157.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee3…cfc9backed Yes | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 73c | 4,000$2,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.99 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 25c | 3,655$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.83 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed No | 79c | 3,547$2,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.94 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…e3a9backed No | 74c | 3,176$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…805bbacked Yes | 23c | 3,091$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.17 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed Yes | 26c | 3,077$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 26c | 3,050$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 25c | 3,000$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 24c | 2,400$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.98 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 197 | 55.3%109 W · 88 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…5efdbacked Yes | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 25c | 1,632$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 26c | 1,346$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fe…74dbbacked Yes | 25c | 1,316$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 73c | 1,304$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.97 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…505abacked Yes | 16c | 1,200$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 25c | 1,185$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.13 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Yes | 27c | 1,136$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.16 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3af…87abbacked Yes | 25c | 1,120$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 73c | 1,109$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.53 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 136 | 44.1%60 W · 76 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd1…62b0backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 75c | 969$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.25 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 24c | 866.81$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.03 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…45f4backed Yes | 24c | 837.33$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 73c | 800$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 8c | 750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +8.6wins | +0.25per pick | 33cpaid | +62%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 27c | 744.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…f407backed Yes | 26c | 742.69$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.19 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 74c | 732$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.32 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbabf…d5bbbacked Yes | 25c | 732$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Yes | 25c | 724.08$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.02 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…93c8backed Yes | 11c | 700$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 75c | 699.28$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.12 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a6…4bd3backed Yes | 17c | 685$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed No | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 26c | 632.95$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.93 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 26c | 600$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.47 | 139 | 31.7%44 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099c…304fbacked Yes | 8c | 550$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 8c | 540$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…680dbacked No | 76c | 526.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed No | 74c | 500$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.67 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…bce6backed Yes | 4c | 499.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…f4b0backed Yes | 6c | 499.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…6527backed Yes | 26c | 494.35$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed No | 76c | 476.18$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.28 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked No | 76c | 467.98$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.98 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b49…d151backed Yes | 24c | 466.67$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 73c | 420$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…48e3backed No | 80c | 420$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 25c | 420$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 73c | 420$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 73c | 420$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed No | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a75…e444backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…fa1bbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 25c | 399.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…e374backed No | 76c | 395.39$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-21?this page
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?Yes won
- Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.