Champions League · resolved market
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7de0acfd081048db0c488ad2fb8f3ad59357ed9bed102ed6778a4ed3814a61bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 24c | 20,833$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.99 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 19,991$15,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,774.37 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 8,227$6,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.94 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 6,706$5,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.85 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 3,521$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.32 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Yes | 2c | 3,500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 27c | 2,992$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.24 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 25c | 2,932$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 78c | 2,118$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.56 | 214 | 60.7%130 W · 84 L | +21.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bab…cf38backed No | 75c | 1,986$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed No | 76c | 1,689$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.56 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 70cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 24c | 1,624$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.76 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…0966backed Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 24c | 1,439$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.38 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 24c | 1,185$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.4 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 75c | 1,121$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.27 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebee…3278backed No | 76c | 1,022$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…eab7backed No | 76c | 969.59$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -47%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked Yes | 19c | 908.25$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.57 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…6c98backed No | 75c | 719.13$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…92c3backed Yes | 28c | 700$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 25c | 583.33$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 75c | 563.48$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.87 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed No | 76c | 553.95$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.95 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Yes | 25c | 532$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed No | 76c | 485.87$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.61 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7174…9874backed No | 76c | 484.14$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8a…0724backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 21c | 449$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.29 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 24c | 437.5$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ab…97a4backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…2086backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…2667backed No | 74c | 386.89$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.59 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5fefbacked Yes | 20c | 385.15$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.03 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 78c | 359.37$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 76c | 332$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 16c | 328.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 44 | 4.5%2 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8641…1d5bbacked Yes | 22c | 291.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 23c | 253.31$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…0884backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf49…e7f4backed No | 76c | 242.17$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9b…b900backed No | 75c | 240.37$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 76cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec09backed No | 75c | 239.75$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba1…1703backed Yes | 25c | 232$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…b09dbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 25c | 207.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 17c | 206.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c3…9f0fbacked Yes | 25c | 197.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21bc…62d0backed Yes | 24c | 186$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 75c | 172.14$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 73c | 158.22$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 76c | 140$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 20c | 133.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Yes | 25c | 128.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc48…519fbacked Yes | 25c | 128$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf07…5129backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 13c | 120$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 25c | 117.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8b…b582backed Yes | 25c | 110$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 10c | 105.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 76c | 103.88$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5212…29c7backed No | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…4b2fbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…87c2backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…0accbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…9b8cbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…2b59backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed Yes | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…a5cbbacked Yes | 21c | 99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfafc…27f5backed Yes | 25c | 94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85dc…a6b7backed Yes | 25c | 92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 31c | 85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 13c | 85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 96 | 24%23 W · 73 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 75c | 84.67$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 60 | 76.7%46 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…aafdbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ac…01f5backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…5555backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ce…c9b5backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?Yes won
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.