TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7b9b…b900

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 53 out of 100; worst NFL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT2763%17 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$107.14
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,619Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$511.18
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$74.36
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$47.25
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$53.41
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.4%+$226.7
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$294.98
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$233.79
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$58.96
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+49.3%+$229.09
Suns vs. Spursbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$46.06
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$66.15
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+40.8%+$77.02
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+35.1%+$9.02
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+44.9%+$168.02
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+38.9%+$37.54
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$69.86
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$176.39
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$75.55
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+44.9%+$66.15
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+46.3%+$174.43
Magic vs. Spursbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$118.97
Mavericks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$39.22
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.53
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+81.8%+$77.45
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagebacked CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.09
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Solary (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$45.5
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group 2backed Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.94
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs FN Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Champions Roundbacked Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$60.51
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+63.9%+$219.06
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+29.9%+$39.88
LoL: LEO vs DMG Esports (BO1) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked DMG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$23.59
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$35.5
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+37%+$28.87
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$153.91
LoL: A One Man Army Esports Prime vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - Comedy Central Winter Snowdown Playoffsbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+47.1%+$36.58
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick76cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$160.97
Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$110.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. NEC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+284.6%+$53.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$121.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Orlando City SC vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$19.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.