Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. NEC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x227d7a7faaef7c73838d6b385aaffce4f8b023efbf5902aec88071b6bddd68ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 27c | 1,875$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.91 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0abd…7207backed No | 5c | 1,500$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +146.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 1,448$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.53 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 1,395$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.85 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 70c | 1,338$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.09 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked Yes | 33c | 1,174$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.19per pick | 17cpaid | +862.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +10.1wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +229.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 877.03$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 650.97$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.55 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 588$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.6 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 74c | 529.02$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.85 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 68c | 500$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.89 | 69 | 71%49 W · 20 L | +10.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5c28…59ffbacked No | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 74c | 499.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 34c | 418.6$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.45 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…0979backed Yes | 30c | 395.26$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 6c | 359$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…7e3ebacked Yes | 29c | 349.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed No | 69c | 340.16$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.71 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Yes | 26c | 307.69$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.69 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 28c | 300.81$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.59 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 74c | 295.45$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.26 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…ba5ebacked Yes | 37c | 250$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 199$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.27 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…79f4backed Yes | 59c | 187.9$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 70c | 176.35$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.64 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 26c | 159.23$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.98 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Yes | 40c | 125.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes | 60c | 86.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 26c | 82.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 71c | 72.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9b…b900backed Yes | 26c | 71.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…0637backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed No | 74c | 68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 31c | 60.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 38c | 47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 26c | 45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…819cbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +168%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 71c | 36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked No | 70c | 35.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…e251backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed No | 72c | 25.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…092ebacked Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 73c | 22.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -5.7wins | -0.57per pick | 67cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 71c | 17.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75be…9a9ebacked No | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…0665backed No | 69c | 14.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. NEC end in a draw?this page
- Will NEC win on 2026-02-15?No won
- Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-02-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.