TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa6da…7e3e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
182
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Serie A, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 33.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT4932.7%16 W · 33 L-11.2wins-0.23per pick55cpaid-45.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
NBA — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,691Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,691
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.06
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Timberwolves vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,300
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$1,137.5
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,174
Magic vs. Bullsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$640
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,158Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+53.2%+$1,149.11
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+104.1%+$132.08
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Suns vs. Wizardsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Celtics vs. Trail Blazersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Raptors vs. Bucksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+61.3%+$766.13
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,335Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,335
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,290
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,058Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$2,058
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$315
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+112.8%+$23.68
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST2040%8 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leicester City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,639Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$4,639
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,739Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,739
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$392.86
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,607Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$2,504.76
Will Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+53.8%+$403.85
Will Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,212Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+58%+$1,862.83
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$655Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$655
Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+51.5%+$48.94
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+69.5%+$34.75
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,491Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+62.2%+$926.93
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 20 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST2025%5 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-55.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$841Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+35.2%+$295.83
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$697Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$697
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$900
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$699.6
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$851.85
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$139
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$299
Will CF Talavera vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$214
Will CA Osasuna win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will CD Guadalajara vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+154.2%+$231.32
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,698Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,698
Will Sevilla win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+28.2%+$84.62
Real Oviedo vs. Osasuna: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Getafe vs. Girona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Real Madrid vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$146.47
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+143.9%+$574.17
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+132.6%+$265.12
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+49.3%+$115.25
Atalanta BC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$159.49
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+38.9%+$181.22
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$489
Club Brugge KV vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$97.12
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+56.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+38.2%+$118.11
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$53
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$216.2
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+78.5%+$39.27
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.85
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$66.67
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$72.78
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$87
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+669.2%+$308.8
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+159.2%+$399.69
All 12 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick38cpaid-83.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$69
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Will Merab Dvalishvili win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$380
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,441Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,441.3
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$401
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+66.7%+$8.66
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$29.12
Will Jack Della Maddalena win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$56.34
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$79.66
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-36.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+39%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-67.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+74.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. NEC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+249.1%+$249.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-33.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+32.9%+$160.74
Will FC Augsburg win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$113
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,364Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,364
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+57.6%+$13.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+36.7%+$30.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$663Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+25.9%+$171.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Ring - High Stakes: Ryan Garcia vs. Mario Barriosbacked Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$168.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,647Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,647
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Red Wingsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.