NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57e119f9863593977844b3d36d2cf7b750070e55eadb0e3b20a771256a784cc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,832,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,985,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,832,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 499 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccb2…8586backed Wizards | 22c | 1,376,282$300,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300,115.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Timberwolves | 79c | 495,824$389,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,262.02 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 260,390$203,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,614.71 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Wizards | 23c | 222,367$51,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,144.32 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 187,630$146,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,141.37 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4b88backed Wizards | 21c | 147,636$31,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,250.85 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed Timberwolves | 79c | 143,962$114,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,749.69 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Timberwolves | 78c | 52,659$40,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,777 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…6305backed Timberwolves | 78c | 51,231$39,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,489.94 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Timberwolves | 77c | 50,000$38,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,500 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards | 6c | 44,331$2,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,861.36 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 44,157$34,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,551 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 37,500$29,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,225 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Timberwolves | 80c | 36,380$29,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,362.2 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 78c | 33,805$26,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,524.72 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…6dfdbacked Wizards | 2c | 30,668$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.59 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed Timberwolves | 78c | 30,000$23,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Timberwolves | 79c | 27,324$21,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,749.83 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Wizards | 19c | 26,234$4,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,984.48 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 79c | 24,739$19,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,280.09 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 24,618$19,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,510.51 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 23,520$18,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,174.4 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wizards | 20c | 23,103$4,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,652.56 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Wizards | 21c | 21,027$4,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,442.37 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves | 80c | 20,891$16,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,191.85 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Timberwolves | 78c | 20,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Timberwolves | 77c | 20,000$15,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Timberwolves | 77c | 19,358$14,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,452.4 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Wizards | 19c | 18,954$3,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,601.17 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 18,809$14,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,205.73 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Wizards | 19c | 17,000$3,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,174.99 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Timberwolves | 78c | 14,400$11,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,168 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 12,901$10,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,838.28 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Timberwolves | 78c | 12,519$9,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,754.26 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +14.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Timberwolves | 78c | 12,328$9,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.86 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Timberwolves | 77c | 12,000$9,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Timberwolves | 80c | 11,010$8,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d56…7486backed Wizards | 20c | 11,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves | 79c | 10,972$8,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.61 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Wizards | 1c | 10,493$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.44 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 10,256$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256.41 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8329…db46backed Wizards | 21c | 10,003$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Timberwolves | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 79c | 9,210$7,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.53 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Timberwolves | 79c | 9,182$7,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.73 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards | 0c | 9,100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wizards | 3c | 7,865$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 20c | 7,550$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Timberwolves | 78c | 7,411$5,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.66 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Timberwolves | 77c | 7,000$5,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.99 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Timberwolves | 80c | 6,784$5,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.85 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7a…725cbacked Timberwolves | 79c | 6,582$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.28 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Timberwolves | 79c | 6,330$5,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.3 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Timberwolves | 79c | 6,100$4,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Timberwolves | 78c | 6,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.99 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…7e3ebacked Wizards | 22c | 5,983$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -11.2wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Timberwolves | 79c | 5,555$4,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.52 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Wizards | 21c | 5,516$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.33 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45de…3addbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 5,510$4,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Wizards | 22c | 5,455$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Timberwolves | 77c | 5,398$4,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.31 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Timberwolves | 80c | 5,200$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Timberwolves | 79c | 5,022$3,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.84 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Wizards | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Wizards | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Wizards | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.99 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Timberwolves | 78c | 4,900$3,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Timberwolves | 78c | 4,871$3,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.47 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90d7…b833backed Timberwolves | 78c | 4,612$3,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Wizards | 1c | 4,575$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Timberwolves | 79c | 4,500$3,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.05 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0627…4301backed Wizards | 1c | 4,437$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 4,133$3,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.5 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Timberwolves | 78c | 4,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Wizards | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Wizards | 3c | 4,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Wizards | 20c | 4,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.99 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Timberwolves | 79c | 3,926$3,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.18 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 3,885$3,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.99 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…e626backed Timberwolves | 78c | 3,688$2,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.27 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a59…9a2fbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 3,667$2,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.82 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Timberwolves | 78c | 3,600$2,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Wizards | 18c | 3,400$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Wizards | 20c | 3,210$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.36 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6cd3backed Timberwolves | 78c | 3,200$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2b…7f04backed Timberwolves | 77c | 3,200$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Wizards | 1c | 3,150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Timberwolves | 79c | 3,144$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.24 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf77…bae9backed Timberwolves | 80c | 3,109$2,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.85 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Timberwolves | 78c | 3,000$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Wizards | 20c | 2,995$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Timberwolves | 80c | 2,727$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.87 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3342…f908backed Timberwolves | 78c | 2,564$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.1 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Timberwolves | 78c | 2,500$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Timberwolves | 79c | 2,407$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.31 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Wizards | 21c | 2,407$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.5 | 251 | 46.2%116 W · 135 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 2,391$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.03 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wizards | 9c | 2,314$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.64 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Timberwolves | 78c | 2,243$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.46 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd22b…48d9backed Wizards | 6c | 2,200$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Wizardsthis page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Wizards: O/U 238.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Wizards: O/U 239.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.