TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,330
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,462

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,330 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0352…3292backed Over51c3,600$1,836 inWon+$1,76410158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7289…8d16backed Under52c192.31$100 inLost-$10013354.1%72 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1600…5a08backed Under46c100$46 inLost-$4614127.7%39 W · 102 L-16.4wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over50c100$50 inWon+$5047738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Over50c100$50 inWon+$5055533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under52c96.15$50 inLost-$501,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d29…4083backed Over54c75$41 inWon+$34.517341%71 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c72.17$36 inWon+$35.799,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under47c60$28 inLost-$28.411741.9%49 W · 68 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under52c60$31 inLost-$31.22,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under50c30.22$15 inLost-$15.1193849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97b8…0f5dbacked Under50c30$15 inLost-$1513953.2%74 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under50c24$12 inLost-$1222048.6%107 W · 113 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over54c20$11 inWon+$9.213155%72 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.