NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4be1b01ebbe64861b5b484f22af300328825f11e47aaf6d083ae24a2dfae35c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $167,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Wizards | 51c | 82,240$41,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,630.35 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Timberwolves | 48c | 38,859$18,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,032.72 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Timberwolves | 49c | 29,253$14,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,918.88 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves | 49c | 9,990$4,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,094.9 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Wizards | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,240 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Timberwolves | 54c | 7,501$4,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,457.44 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…6d2cbacked Wizards | 48c | 6,491$3,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,115.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Timberwolves | 53c | 5,283$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.02 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 48c | 5,150$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.1 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 4,912$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.56 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Timberwolves | 50c | 4,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +14.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Timberwolves | 53c | 3,794$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.98 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 50c | 3,637$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.65 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Wizards | 52c | 3,523$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.78 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Timberwolves | 51c | 2,822$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.75 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Wizards | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Wizards | 53c | 2,399$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.72 | 277 | 35%97 W · 180 L | -30.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Wizards | 52c | 2,370$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.23 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,226$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.53 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.99 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wizards | 49c | 1,917$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.41 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 1,556$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1428…017cbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.46 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.79 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Wizards | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Wizards | 52c | 1,068$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.36 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Wizards | 47c | 999.66$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.69 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Wizards | 52c | 997.72$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.81 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Timberwolves | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Wizards | 48c | 933$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.49 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Timberwolves | 54c | 929.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.65 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Timberwolves | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Timberwolves | 53c | 780.75$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.21 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wizards | 48c | 656$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.33 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 44c | 622.9$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.51 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Wizards | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Timberwolves | 56c | 536.34$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.34 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Wizards | 53c | 470$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.1 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 65c | 409.24$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.37 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Wizards | 13c | 380$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Wizards | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…2f37backed Timberwolves | 53c | 268.81$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.54 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Timberwolves | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Timberwolves | 49c | 244.61$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.87 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Wizards | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Wizards | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…8defbacked Wizards | 45c | 188$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.05 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -7.6wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Wizards | 52c | 180$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f5…4252backed Wizards | 48c | 167.55$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Timberwolves | 57c | 160.5$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Wizards | 49c | 152.08$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…34debacked Timberwolves | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Timberwolves | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a20…af22backed Wizards | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Wizards | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Wizards | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Wizards | 50c | 80.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Wizards | 27c | 77.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 173 | 31.8%55 W · 118 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Wizards | 36c | 76.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Wizards | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wizards | 49c | 70.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…2204backed Timberwolves | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Wizards | 44c | 63.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa041…04d2backed Wizards | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…b9a1backed Wizards | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Timberwolves | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 48.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 44.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wizards | 27c | 44.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wizards | 52c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…466abacked Wizards | 55c | 41.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…f6debacked Timberwolves | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1540…04e9backed Timberwolves | 49c | 38.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked Wizards | 48c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Wizards | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Wizards | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Timberwolves | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Timberwolves | 49c | 37.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 327 | 43.4%142 W · 185 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Timberwolves | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98fe…a984backed Timberwolves | 68c | 35.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d90…cf08backed Wizards | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 199 | 40.7%81 W · 118 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…3e20backed Wizards | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Timberwolves | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 380 | 50.8%193 W · 187 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves | 50c | 27.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Wizards | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed Wizards | 48c | 22.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Wizards | 48c | 22.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Wizards | 48c | 22.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Timberwolves | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Wizards | 52c | 19.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Timberwolves | 54c | 18.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…eb0abacked Timberwolves | 68c | 18.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +428.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. WizardsTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Wizards: O/U 238.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Wizards: O/U 239.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.