TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1a65…15b1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
146
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 60 out of 100; worst Serie A at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST3046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Open Sud de France: Adrian Mannarino vs Martin Dammbacked Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$8,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+150%+$12,000
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$779Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$778.83
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$200
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$6,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$6,799.99
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,768Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,767.56
Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.67
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$272.86
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$12,099.75
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13,785Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6,193.26
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5,599.99
Australian Open Women's: Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatekbacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11,448Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+82.1%+$9,399.91
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$3,906Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$3,906.01
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tienbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17,656Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+52.2%+$9,209.95
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$3,294.12
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25,753Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+70.5%+$18,152.46
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Machacbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18,795Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+58.1%+$10,927.59
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Oksana Selekhmetevabacked Selekhmeteva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$116.63
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norriebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$7,509Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+28.5%+$2,143.3
Australian Open Men's: Jaume Munar vs Casper Ruudbacked Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,310.5
Australian Open Men's: Sebastian Baez vs Luciano Darderibacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+163.2%+$330.11
Australian Open Men's: Jakub Mensik vs Rafael Jodarbacked Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$5,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$5,700
ASB Classic: Sebastian Baez vs Jakub Mensikbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11,905Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+50.8%+$6,051.85
ASB Classic: Ben Shelton vs Sebastian Baezbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,356Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$2,355.59
ASB Classic: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Jakub Mensikbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+98.1%+$430.42
Brisbane International: Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$5,113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$5,112.87
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST2774.1%20 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+38.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24,300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$20,699.99
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+86.9%+$18,600
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$9,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+122.2%+$11,000
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$774Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+37%+$286.11
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$9,665Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+92.5%+$8,940.65
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,279Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+132.6%+$3,021.48
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,840Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+99.1%+$6,779.09
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20,450
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11,800
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,681Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+31.6%+$530.97
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$256.36
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11,157Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+82.8%+$9,238.15
Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13,903Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+35.5%+$4,936.89
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21,704Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$21,703.74
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26,033Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$26,033.15
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+44.9%+$82.83
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,909Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+143.9%+$7,064.32
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$7,475Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+110.3%+$8,248.07
Will Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+37%+$27.87
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$7,650Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$7,350
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$8,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$6,300
Will Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$5,337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$5,336.63
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10,050Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+198.5%+$19,949.93
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25,954Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+105.8%+$27,472.22
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$79.83
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1850%9 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,214Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+47.1%+$571.5
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,547Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+56.2%+$870.45
Spread: Hornets (-2.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10,190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10,190.4
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,648Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,647.6
Thunder vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$4,871Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$4,870.57
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$7,495Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+100%+$7,495.1
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$9,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+61.3%+$5,700
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$8,977Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$8,976.62
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$4,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$4,350
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$4,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$4,950
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$7,350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+104.1%+$7,650
Magic vs. Netsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$797.73
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,974Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,974.38
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+31.6%+$10,800
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10,500
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10,494Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10,494.04
Timberwolves vs. Wizardsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+29%+$6,750
Nuggets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$9,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5,400
All 18 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$8,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+132.6%+$11,400
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$7,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+185.7%+$13,000
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+37.4%+$6,800
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$28,800
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$17,000
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,758Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$1,325.88
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+40.8%+$147.04
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14,200
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+136.7%+$23,100
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$5,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+270.4%+$14,600
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+55.9%+$514.37
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$312.78
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$9,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$9,750
Will Qairat FK vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$6,115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+25%+$1,528.72
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$6,234Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+81.8%+$5,100.51
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34,568Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+33.4%+$11,551.25
Will Senegal vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+49.3%+$70.17
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10,725Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3,025
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15,149.96
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,888Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+71.6%+$4,216.07
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11,249.99
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10,728Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10,728.46
Will Algeria win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,903Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+40.8%+$777.17
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10,050
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$6,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$6,349.75
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$618Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$617.99
Will Mali win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$1,287.01
Will Tunisia win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$871Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+40.8%+$355.83
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO5) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$2,849.98
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,856Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+170.3%+$6,565.84
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,780Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$4,780
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,495Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,495.12
LoL: Dplus KIA vs OKSavingsBank BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$658Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$657.7
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+127.4%+$490.74
LoL: Dplus KIA vs OKSavingsBank BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,358Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+33.3%+$785.99
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO3)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+57.2%+$1,716.99
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,538Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+47.1%+$2,137.79
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-52.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$5,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$5,400
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$6,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$6,900
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+59.1%+$178.05
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13,650Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+119.8%+$16,349.99
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$6,750Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+122.2%+$8,250
All 5 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-67.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+72.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-01-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21,850Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+60.2%+$13,150
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-01-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$9,741Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+50.8%+$4,944.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$9,150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$5,850
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10,021Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10,020.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.