Fifa International · resolved market
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b142e7e0f0214809c629f245456fa54eb082ab6f40d46dc8abdfd7853f2088f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $361,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $392,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $361,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 22c | 95,793$20,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,924.6 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 41,446$32,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,873.72 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 78c | 29,478$23,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,369.58 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 28,776$22,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,343.74 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 16,679$13,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,579.28 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed No | 78c | 13,750$10,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,025 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…6e34backed Yes | 22c | 13,636$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 22c | 10,412$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.59 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 76c | 10,354$7,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.88 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…32c8backed Yes | 18c | 8,238$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.83 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 80c | 8,180$6,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.83 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes | 20c | 8,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.99 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 78c | 6,500$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.89 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 22c | 5,399$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.15 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 79c | 4,716$3,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8be2…1598backed Yes | 18c | 4,007$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285e…c2f4backed No | 76c | 4,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 79c | 3,962$3,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.26 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 19c | 3,522$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.59 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Yes | 20c | 3,507$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed Yes | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 17c | 2,924$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.11 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc02…504dbacked Yes | 21c | 2,846$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.66 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 2,737$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.12 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 19c | 2,667$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.84 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked No | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x088e…bc56backed Yes | 20c | 2,449$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.79 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…a457backed Yes | 22c | 2,366$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…0c01backed Yes | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfa…d143backed Yes | 21c | 2,269$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.42 | 79 | 13.9%11 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 79c | 2,132$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.53 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 76c | 2,010$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.5 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Yes | 22c | 1,999$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.87 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 1,855$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.68 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed No | 79c | 1,643$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.07 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7211…c51bbacked Yes | 21c | 1,626$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 20c | 1,626$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.54 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 22c | 1,518$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.5 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed No | 77c | 1,500$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61d5…b767backed Yes | 20c | 1,497$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df3…637fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,494$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…547ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,417$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…2b44backed Yes | 21c | 1,398$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 80c | 1,266$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.82 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 22c | 1,263$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.27 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked Yes | 3c | 1,198$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed No | 78c | 1,180$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.64 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 62cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…57e1backed Yes | 21c | 1,157$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 78c | 1,084$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.58 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf808…6e99backed Yes | 22c | 1,055$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x536d…493dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,051$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 24c | 999.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 78c | 999.99$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…d3b3backed Yes | 22c | 968.18$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 16c | 921.46$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.24 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 21c | 880.95$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…cf4bbacked Yes | 19c | 842.42$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 77c | 773.01$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.12 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed No | 80c | 752$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.4 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked No | 75c | 700$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe390…73ffbacked Yes | 18c | 700$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…e6febacked Yes | 12c | 653.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 115 | 26.1%30 W · 85 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcad0…d752backed Yes | 16c | 637$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…b47fbacked Yes | 22c | 623.42$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4040…8804backed Yes | 21c | 585.71$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 22c | 567.83$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.92 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 78c | 566.58$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.32 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Yes | 19c | 528.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb42a…0156backed Yes | 24c | 502.31$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.13 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed No | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 233 | 36.9%86 W · 147 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 4c | 484.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 21c | 482.39$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2dc…eb94backed Yes | 19c | 478.43$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…485abacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad19…a7adbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 291 | 38.5%112 W · 179 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4b…b34bbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…0fa4backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee2a…801bbacked Yes | 22c | 453$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2844…5aa1backed Yes | 18c | 450.28$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed9…11f0backed Yes | 11c | 450$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -62%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f48…cd03backed Yes | 6c | 438.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…5086backed Yes | 20c | 434.8$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…8f37backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +59%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…60c5backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f95…9673backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd3…d13bbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 15c | 413.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e5…b4dcbacked Yes | 22c | 413.23$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 78c | 411.11$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.51 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…09d0backed Yes | 7c | 410.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed Yes | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked No | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7003…684bbacked Yes | 21c | 380.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 80c | 372$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Egypt win on 2026-01-14?this page
- Will Senegal vs. Egypt end in a draw?No won
- Will Senegal win on 2026-01-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.