TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfec7…485a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2420.8%5 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-46.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.91
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.76
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$111.02
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$22.49
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will Wigan Athletic FC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$223.44
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+108.3%+$160.96
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+334.8%+$267.83
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+69.5%+$73.7
Will Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+156.4%+$104.31
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$71.77
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$52.03
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Liverpool vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.3
Will Tottenham vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.17
All 24 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.86
Will England win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$199.53
Will South Africa win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will West Indies win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59.74
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indiesbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+68.9%+$76.11
T20 World Cup: England vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$21.43
T20 World Cup: India vs Zimbabwebacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$60
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+61.3%+$52.1
T20 World Cup: England vs Pakistanbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+69.5%+$66.89
ODI Series Australia vs India, Women: Australia vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$43.93
T20 World Cup: Zimbabwe vs West Indiesbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+40.8%+$40.85
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka, Women: West Indies vs Sri Lankabacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+316.7%+$123.15
T20 World Cup: England vs West Indies (Game 1)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$145.8
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 2)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$13.35
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58%+$38.93
Will the match end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$89.36
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$97.54
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Raptors vs. Wizardsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$7.58
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$19.64
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$85.98
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$44.62
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$60.07
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$28.33
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+127.3%+$38.18
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Hornets vs. Cavaliersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$68.11
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid+66.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+117.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+137.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.12
Tigers vs. Rangersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$18.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sønderjyske Fodbold win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20.7
Will Aberdeen FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$47
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$34.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+233.3%+$46.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$28.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Syria on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$31.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on August 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$27.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.