NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff7e78f7a66c8b2ee3f68b1b298ad77817f98f7c692d3405db276e8ac961b52b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,386,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,556,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,386,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Thunder | 47c | 830,514$390,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439,805.4 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Thunder | 49c | 307,552$150,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157,005.11 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Raptors | 51c | 171,367$87,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,291.21 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Raptors | 55c | 120,696$65,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,858.81 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 45c | 115,429$51,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,803.34 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Raptors | 55c | 112,155$61,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,259.67 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Raptors | 51c | 100,156$51,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,079.8 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Raptors | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Thunder | 52c | 93,921$48,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,287.25 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 52c | 87,300$45,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,565.9 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Raptors | 51c | 75,950$38,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,734.5 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Raptors | 51c | 73,681$37,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,322.58 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Raptors | 56c | 70,000$39,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,000 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Thunder | 46c | 65,929$30,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,601.47 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Raptors | 50c | 65,626$32,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,994.82 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Thunder | 44c | 64,791$28,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,022.3 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Raptors | 55c | 60,788$33,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,433.15 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Thunder | 49c | 56,633$27,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,882.92 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Raptors | 50c | 54,988$27,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,494.17 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa491…3177backed Raptors | 49c | 49,945$24,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,473.16 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Thunder | 50c | 46,551$23,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,275.57 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…cd88backed Raptors | 56c | 40,373$22,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,702.62 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Thunder | 47c | 40,000$18,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,100 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Thunder | 45c | 36,629$16,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,208.44 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Raptors | 56c | 35,406$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec9…8d0bbacked Raptors | 52c | 33,573$17,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,413.46 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Raptors | 51c | 33,400$16,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,904.15 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Raptors | 52c | 29,582$15,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,471.33 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Raptors | 28c | 28,336$8,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,041.33 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Raptors | 20c | 28,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.99 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Raptors | 53c | 26,571$14,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,097.45 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Raptors | 55c | 25,637$14,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,075.75 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked Raptors | 56c | 25,632$14,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,353.92 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Thunder | 44c | 25,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,000 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…050cbacked Thunder | 50c | 24,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Thunder | 44c | 24,000$10,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,439.99 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Raptors | 50c | 23,992$11,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,996.14 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Raptors | 56c | 22,000$12,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,320 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4044backed Thunder | 45c | 21,993$9,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,095.97 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Thunder | 43c | 21,975$9,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,525.48 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Raptors | 55c | 21,480$11,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,905.8 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Thunder | 45c | 21,000$9,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,520 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors | 21c | 20,478$4,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,242.13 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 53c | 20,334$10,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,728.57 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Raptors | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…68a0backed Raptors | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder | 49c | 20,000$9,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,115.34 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Raptors | 54c | 19,729$10,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,568 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Raptors | 29c | 19,505$5,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,643.8 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Raptors | 51c | 18,932$9,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,626 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Raptors | 59c | 18,620$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Thunder | 49c | 18,250$8,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,307.5 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Thunder | 50c | 17,767$8,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,883.53 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed Raptors | 50c | 16,898$8,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,457 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Raptors | 13c | 16,511$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.84 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Raptors | 51c | 15,992$8,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,082.79 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 52c | 15,543$8,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,107.51 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 57c | 15,070$8,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,507.54 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Raptors | 50c | 14,784$7,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,387.23 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Raptors | 1c | 13,960$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.16 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Thunder | 49c | 13,936$6,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,085.45 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Raptors | 23c | 13,284$3,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,101.18 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3280…ea74backed Thunder | 50c | 11,968$5,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,984 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -11.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Raptors | 1c | 11,648$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.25 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Raptors | 51c | 11,637$5,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,968.45 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Raptors | 56c | 11,500$6,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,440 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa115…6c5abacked Raptors | 57c | 11,447$6,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,525 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Raptors | 53c | 11,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ea…6e4ebacked Raptors | 52c | 10,956$5,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,652.35 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…cfcabacked Raptors | 52c | 10,865$5,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,650 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -53%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Thunder | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,416.67 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…5a02backed Raptors | 25c | 10,158$2,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545.36 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64dc…e3e7backed Raptors | 50c | 10,031$5,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,015.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Thunder | 45c | 10,000$4,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,540 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…9893backed Thunder | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Raptors | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.98 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Raptors | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.87 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Raptors | 55c | 9,638$5,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,316.82 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Raptors | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…a1c1backed Raptors | 51c | 9,216$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Raptors | 50c | 9,133$4,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,566.65 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 27c | 8,935$2,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.96 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…b04bbacked Raptors | 55c | 8,934$4,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,880 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22b6…0ebcbacked Raptors | 51c | 8,685$4,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,435.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Raptors | 49c | 8,642$4,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,234.49 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa25d…2227backed Raptors | 43c | 8,595$3,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,727.45 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…9da7backed Raptors | 31c | 8,100$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.08 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Thunder | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Raptors | 51c | 7,914$4,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,035.89 | 221 | 37.6%83 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Raptors | 52c | 7,787$4,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,027.06 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc825…4530backed Raptors | 52c | 7,346$3,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,820.04 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Raptors | 51c | 7,256$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700.48 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb7…e8e5backed Raptors | 2c | 7,000$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Thunder | 44c | 6,887$3,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,856.89 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Raptors | 13c | 6,766$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.48 | 331 | 39.3%130 W · 201 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Thunder | 46c | 6,671$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,631.17 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5682…46cbbacked Thunder | 50c | 6,666$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,332.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Raptors | 51c | 6,565$3,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,315.5 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked Raptors | 51c | 6,510$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,320.1 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Thunder | 47c | 6,500$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,445 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Raptorsthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-0.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Isaiah Joe: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jamal Shead: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Raptors: O/U 215.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Raptors: O/U 216.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Raptors: O/U 217.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.