NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e06b73edda887fd38ea465c6767537024f44fe939c23ffbcbb2261dcb52b54c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Thunder | 45c | 20,699$9,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,380.7 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 57c | 11,400$6,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,454.92 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Raptors | 54c | 9,604$5,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,144.59 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Raptors | 55c | 7,901$4,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,380 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Raptors | 55c | 5,575$3,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,066.25 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Thunder | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.95 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 51c | 3,302$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.14 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Thunder | 48c | 3,194$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.61 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacea…edcebacked Raptors | 54c | 3,113$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 54c | 3,019$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…252dbacked Thunder | 47c | 2,991$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd80…fd3cbacked Thunder | 46c | 2,866$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa347…8477backed Thunder | 47c | 2,862$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…ca17backed Raptors | 53c | 2,811$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…da2dbacked Thunder | 47c | 2,808$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d50…abaebacked Thunder | 47c | 2,803$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa790…e6c5backed Thunder | 47c | 2,515$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Thunder | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fed…4269backed Thunder | 46c | 2,456$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Thunder | 49c | 2,421$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.3 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a4…054ebacked Raptors | 53c | 2,283$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Thunder | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66d6…770fbacked Raptors | 53c | 2,115$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffc…fcb7backed Raptors | 53c | 2,099$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…baddbacked Raptors | 54c | 2,022$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d42…f254backed Thunder | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…52e9backed Raptors | 53c | 1,945$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9a…1d4fbacked Raptors | 53c | 1,926$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d5…a549backed Thunder | 47c | 1,917$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x429a…2b3abacked Thunder | 47c | 1,825$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdd…d3fbbacked Raptors | 53c | 1,818$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54c3…6192backed Thunder | 47c | 1,818$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 47c | 1,782$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.56 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…b14dbacked Raptors | 53c | 1,771$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x521d…5c08backed Raptors | 54c | 1,752$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…87ccbacked Thunder | 47c | 1,745$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Thunder | 44c | 1,700$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.27 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Thunder | 45c | 1,689$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.88 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 54c | 1,677$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.85 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Thunder | 43c | 1,666$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.62 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 60c | 1,637$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.96 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Raptors | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d62…7e2dbacked Raptors | 53c | 1,501$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc76f…1b7abacked Raptors | 53c | 1,436$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a6…2b0abacked Raptors | 53c | 1,378$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Raptors | 54c | 1,329$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.66 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Thunder | 41c | 1,214$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.85 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e7…56d4backed Raptors | 54c | 1,155$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Raptors | 55c | 1,112$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.81 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed Raptors | 55c | 1,101$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.69 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Raptors | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Thunder | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Raptors | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors | 52c | 988.32$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.56 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Thunder | 46c | 941.2$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.25 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd992…5ff6backed Thunder | 47c | 815$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa137…afe6backed Thunder | 46c | 763$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Raptors | 54c | 700$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Raptors | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Raptors | 56c | 520.52$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.49 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Thunder | 48c | 516$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.32 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e04…99d1backed Raptors | 53c | 507$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e71…aa41backed Raptors | 58c | 446.36$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Thunder | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Raptors | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Raptors | 57c | 383.62$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.51 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0d…2044backed Raptors | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Raptors | 56c | 327.75$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.54 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Thunder | 48c | 326.05$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eed…cf44backed Thunder | 43c | 317.49$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.97 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf70…0a7ebacked Raptors | 53c | 313$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Thunder | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Thunder | 46c | 264.89$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.98 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…adafbacked Thunder | 49c | 255.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.1 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Raptors | 55c | 244.49$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.4 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Raptors | 55c | 241.82$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Thunder | 44c | 232.85$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.44 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17dd…f280backed Raptors | 53c | 232$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Raptors | 54c | 228$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.12 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Thunder | 46c | 217.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.25 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7e…faafbacked Raptors | 54c | 202.69$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.45 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Thunder | 43c | 202.33$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.33 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…20b8backed Thunder | 47c | 202$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Raptors | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Raptors | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Raptors | 54c | 170.94$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.31 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Raptors | 55c | 169$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Raptors | 49c | 161.11$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Raptors | 51c | 154.49$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.79 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e3…c09fbacked Thunder | 47c | 152.64$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.9 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe79c…431cbacked Raptors | 53c | 146$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…ad08backed Raptors | 53c | 144$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e13…2ac4backed Thunder | 46c | 142.58$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.99 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -7.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…b4adbacked Thunder | 46c | 140$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Raptors | 55c | 126$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Raptors | 53c | 125.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…8956backed Thunder | 47c | 124$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Raptors | 54c | 123.91$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.91 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb65…f282backed Thunder | 47c | 122$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…6d9cbacked Raptors | 53c | 122$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-0.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Isaiah Joe: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jamal Shead: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. RaptorsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Raptors: O/U 215.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Raptors: O/U 216.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Raptors: O/U 217.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.