TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4c7e…faaf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 60 out of 100; worst Valorant at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT5259.6%31 W · 21 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$51.29
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$46.63
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.93
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.5
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$101.39
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.48
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.35
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.62
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$50.45
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.94
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.98
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.93
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,270Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$337.67
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$50.45
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.94
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.9
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$44.82
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$34.08
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$61.2
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$44.62
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.53
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$54.59
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$50.45
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$35.29
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$28.4
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+47.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$55.04
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$64.01
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.38
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$92.31
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$49.15
LoL: Fnatic vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$49.21
LoL: SK Gaming vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$105.39
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.47
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$60.45
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.63
LoL: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.17
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$17.66
LoL: G2 NORD vs Witchcraft (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Dbacked Witchcraft · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.72
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$58.46
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Natus Vincere vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+185.7%+$37.14
LoL: SK Gaming vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+100%+$36.22
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
All 19 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.94
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Paulo Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$128.02
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Curtis Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.46
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Johnny Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.2
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Chris Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.65
Will Joe Pyfer win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$46.67
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Movsar Evloev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$17.88
Will Luke Riley win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Luke Riley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.88
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$35.55
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Reinier de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$22.84
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.51
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Hooker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.62
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.35
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.16
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$29.1
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.61
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.61
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$56.4
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.66
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+106.6%+$21.32
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+160.1%+$20.62
All 12 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.