CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x613c930781fae095983cd849a7667852978939d4d54ec571253ff317d922b5f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Legacyof Legacy, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $574,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $574,313 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 377 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Legacy | 57c | 246,871$140,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,613.7 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Astralis | 43c | 202,490$86,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,722.04 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Legacy | 48c | 40,452$19,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,119.3 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Astralis | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,799.96 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Astralis | 52c | 20,369$10,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,692.78 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Astralis | 52c | 19,474$10,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,049.91 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Astralis | 24c | 11,899$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,864.68 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Astralis | 1c | 10,701$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Astralis | 52c | 10,379$5,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,397.2 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Legacy | 48c | 10,245$4,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,277.55 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Legacy | 70c | 10,060$7,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,995.13 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Astralis | 29c | 9,103$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Astralis | 51c | 8,000$4,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,109.9 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Legacy | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640.15 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed Astralis | 3c | 6,004$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Legacy | 63c | 6,000$3,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.61 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Astralis | 26c | 5,870$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.96 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Legacy | 66c | 5,282$3,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.72 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Legacy | 48c | 5,209$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.64 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Astralis | 53c | 4,734$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.24 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Legacy | 48c | 4,685$2,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,443.33 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x686f…ccb1backed Legacy | 79c | 4,616$3,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.57 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Legacy | 62c | 4,513$2,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.78 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bd…b013backed Astralis | 45c | 4,479$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3000…df87backed Astralis | 34c | 4,362$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Legacy | 45c | 4,246$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,335.57 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Legacy | 56c | 4,240$2,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.38 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Legacy | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.99 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Astralis | 21c | 3,714$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.99 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Astralis | 33c | 3,216$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Astralis | 53c | 3,212$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.92 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Astralis | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Legacy | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Legacy | 72c | 2,923$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.41 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Astralis | 30c | 2,800$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.7 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Astralis | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Legacy | 60c | 2,425$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.49 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…acf5backed Astralis | 53c | 2,360$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Legacy | 63c | 2,271$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.02 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Astralis | 44c | 2,220$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.42 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Legacy | 77c | 2,197$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.12 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Legacy | 75c | 2,125$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.98 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Astralis | 54c | 2,104$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.16 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Legacy | 46c | 2,080$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.39 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Astralis | 32c | 2,029$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.34 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Legacy | 77c | 2,000$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.21 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Astralis | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Legacy | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.15 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Astralis | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Astralis | 16c | 1,982$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.58 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Legacy | 76c | 1,782$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.77 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Legacy | 62c | 1,775$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.69 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Astralis | 52c | 1,753$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.8 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Astralis | 24c | 1,684$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.8 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Astralis | 30c | 1,550$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.52 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Legacy | 58c | 1,525$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.53 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Legacy | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 161 | 49.1%79 W · 82 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Astralis | 52c | 1,479$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.53 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x866f…d410backed Astralis | 6c | 1,470$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.21 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Legacy | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Legacy | 46c | 1,388$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.25 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Astralis | 28c | 1,380$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.74 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Legacy | 48c | 1,279$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.17 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked Legacy | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Astralis | 53c | 1,248$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.18 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf81…80cebacked Legacy | 48c | 1,154$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Legacy | 80c | 1,041$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.56 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7337…1fafbacked Astralis | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.84 | 190 | 22.6%43 W · 147 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Legacy | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.2 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Legacy | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Astralis | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.71 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Legacy | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.05 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…ba7bbacked Legacy | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Legacy | 54c | 999.99$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.2 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…b05abacked Astralis | 52c | 961.6$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.03 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…de0ebacked Legacy | 48c | 950.29$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.15 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…2d6fbacked Astralis | 53c | 945$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Astralis | 46c | 941.3$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.91 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Astralis | 21c | 919.99$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.4 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…2014backed Legacy | 46c | 905.87$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.37 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8c…f872backed Legacy | 48c | 904.17$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.17 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Legacy | 63c | 879$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.25 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Astralis | 32c | 849.99$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Astralis | 33c | 842.42$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d6…18a2backed Astralis | 36c | 842$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.12 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…6bc7backed Legacy | 62c | 804.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.54 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa50b…74b2backed Astralis | 44c | 785.91$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.8 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Astralis | 53c | 765.63$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.78 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b9…133ebacked Astralis | 52c | 762$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Astralis | 53c | 722.76$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.82 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb000…5ca6backed Astralis | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9589…5b36backed Legacy | 45c | 711.33$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.23 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Astralis | 29c | 700$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Astralis | 37c | 699.99$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed Legacy | 48c | 677.08$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.08 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Legacy | 63c | 674.42$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.51 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Astralis | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…a879backed Legacy | 70c | 653.75$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Astralis | 53c | 649$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.97 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Astralis | 23c | 647.63$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.95 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2this page
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerLegacy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)Legacy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.