CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6aa9f33ecda107de35ca9f79211376f1eccfc9e618414ce71f69cab393fe5ae5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Legacyof Legacy, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,210 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Astralis | 17c | 23,645$3,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,942.73 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Astralis | 0c | 5,034$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Legacy | 53c | 4,435$2,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.45 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Legacy | 72c | 4,320$3,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.47 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Astralis | 47c | 4,274$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.89 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Legacy | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Astralis | 29c | 2,064$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.68 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Legacy | 65c | 1,312$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.6 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Legacy | 72c | 1,123$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.69 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Astralis | 46c | 1,102$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.32 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8a…42a0backed Astralis | 9c | 1,102$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…f197backed Astralis | 6c | 1,069$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Legacy | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Astralis | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Astralis | 36c | 842$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.29 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Astralis | 18c | 798.88$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.8 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Legacy | 52c | 665$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.2 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Astralis | 48c | 660$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.8 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Astralis | 42c | 643.54$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.38 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Legacy | 73c | 638.64$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.17 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Astralis | 15c | 634.23$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Astralis | 45c | 573$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.85 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Astralis | 16c | 499.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Astralis | 26c | 496.83$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 239 | 40.2%96 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Astralis | 17c | 496$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Legacy | 69c | 436.17$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.43 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Legacy | 70c | 326.97$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.91 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Legacy | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Astralis | 36c | 280$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Astralis | 37c | 261.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked Astralis | 7c | 260.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Astralis | 50c | 242.73$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.37 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…9bd1backed Astralis | 6c | 206.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Legacy | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Astralis | 34c | 181.78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.83 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe902…eda4backed Astralis | 47c | 166.7$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.35 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Astralis | 45c | 159$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis | 21c | 125$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Legacy | 72c | 123.53$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Astralis | 36c | 123.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Astralis | 31c | 119.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Astralis | 28c | 102.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…909dbacked Astralis | 44c | 101.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Astralis | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Astralis | 32c | 73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Astralis | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6846…a82fbacked Legacy | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +13.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd7…ebb7backed Legacy | 67c | 61.21$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Legacy | 77c | 59.28$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Astralis | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Astralis | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Astralis | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Astralis | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Astralis | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 603 | 58.5%353 W · 250 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Astralis | 48c | 39.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d5…853dbacked Legacy | 53c | 32.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Legacy | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Legacy | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Astralis | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed Legacy | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2Legacy won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerLegacy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)Legacy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.