CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa87906215cc700fda3a3bb36dd7c299393f8996c3e1aa8d0cb2678780e05de5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,937 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 38c | 3,872$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.04 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Under | 68c | 2,158$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.56 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 67c | 1,398$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.55 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 1,395$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.34 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 27c | 1,119$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.11 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 68c | 984.06$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.15 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 53c | 640$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.81 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 60c | 571.07$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.78 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6867…f8d2backed Over | 49c | 387.86$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…a418backed Over | 47c | 386$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…9a6abacked Under | 53c | 352$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebda…81afbacked Under | 53c | 347$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…abfebacked Under | 53c | 332$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba7…554cbacked Under | 53c | 324$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…de73backed Under | 53c | 316$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f52…d7e9backed Over | 47c | 313$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…7287backed Over | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91ec…e395backed Over | 47c | 297$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…49ccbacked Under | 53c | 292$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…6618backed Over | 47c | 270$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…ce10backed Under | 53c | 264$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b7…6df6backed Under | 53c | 252$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28eb…d2fabacked Under | 53c | 245$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd904…3d8fbacked Under | 53c | 243$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…a1debacked Over | 47c | 241$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2489…7f8dbacked Over | 47c | 229$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7240…e63abacked Over | 47c | 226$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41c…1ddebacked Over | 47c | 225$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…ced3backed Under | 53c | 216$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fc…b20bbacked Over | 47c | 203$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…0c49backed Under | 53c | 194$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…7941backed Over | 47c | 194$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b3…15fbbacked Over | 47c | 189$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0802…eb8bbacked Over | 47c | 174$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc3…c5ecbacked Over | 47c | 167$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a9…ce7dbacked Over | 47c | 137$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222c…70f1backed Over | 47c | 126$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 65c | 123.07$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 157 | 38.2%60 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Over | 29c | 113.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 62c | 105.9$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed Over | 53c | 93.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Over | 24c | 80.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Under | 72c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 20c | 59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 30c | 51.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…eba3backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x560e…59b1backed Over | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 47c | 36.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 39c | 28.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…40ddbacked Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc85b…8b98backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Over | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35c…ff41backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2Legacy won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerLegacy won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)Legacy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.