TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x66d5…eba3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.54
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$42.24
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.08
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.4
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Abacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Imperial (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffsbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffsbacked ex-KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs largadosypelados (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffsbacked Fake do Biru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Leo Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffsbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagebacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - JB Pro League Season 2 Group stagebacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.2
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: G2 vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.17
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+58.7%+$5.92
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+78.6%+$7.92
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$76.2
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.75
Suns vs. Bucksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$9.02
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.35
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Grizzlies vs. Netsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.67
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.8
Celtics vs. Warriorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Magic vs. Kingsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
All 15 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$15.7
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+119.1%+$35.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: sleepers vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffsbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.