CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1aabb466801da9772d1845df47fb4175e2a9c5a0b83ea392dcd67026e78f787e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.99 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Under | 51c | 1,970$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.41 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 41c | 1,705$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.65 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 51c | 1,493$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.49 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 59c | 1,171$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.47 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 48c | 1,071$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.26 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ec…1ea6backed Under | 65c | 1,009$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3216…aa16backed Over | 38c | 985.27$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 50c | 514.9$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.45 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 34c | 479.25$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.94 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Over | 50c | 464.49$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Under | 48c | 238.04$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.45 | 166 | 50.6%84 W · 82 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 75c | 212$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…18edbacked Over | 60c | 168.02$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Over | 50c | 166$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 52c | 119.49$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.81 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 30c | 81.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.61 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…61c5backed Under | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6931…89cabacked Over | 44c | 72.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb388…dc58backed Over | 48c | 59.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 33c | 57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 26c | 55.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 53c | 53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…ee32backed Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c5…e975backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 44c | 45.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8305…7114backed Under | 63c | 43.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…990abacked Over | 49c | 36.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…8fb9backed Over | 58c | 34.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…b728backed Under | 52c | 32.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa889…ebcdbacked Over | 52c | 30.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…8b79backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…eba3backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 51c | 29.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ae…b4ffbacked Over | 58c | 25.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 52c | 25.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Over | 50c | 20.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba7e…ae58backed Under | 65c | 19.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.