TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9388…8b79

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST6563.1%41 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$49.97
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+97.9%+$18.03
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+66.7%+$22.92
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+58.4%+$12.67
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.74
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14.29
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14.53
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$42.57
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+94.3%+$30.19
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+47.1%+$20.68
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+75%+$18.86
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+78.5%+$22.43
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+46.5%+$11.68
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs 9z (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$172.98
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+42.9%+$51.9
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+38.7%+$5.8
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$212.17
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs WW Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffsbacked Lazer Cats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$45.73
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Game Hunters (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Playoffsbacked Game Hunters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+82.6%+$20.71
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Metizport (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.27
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$31.33
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Wildcard (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stagebacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Dota 2: Valinor vs NoLogoJustMMR (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Valinor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15.51
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs REKONIX (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+53.8%+$8.08
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs hAze clan (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked hAze clan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7.73
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Execration (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.42
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.06
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-53.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.