TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs REKONIX (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vici Gamingof Vici Gaming, REKONIX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,354
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,781

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,354 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfc3e…776bbacked REKONIX17c2,034$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.8419251.6%99 W · 93 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7daf…0ec8backed REKONIX50c1,573$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.144854.2%26 W · 22 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+34.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed REKONIX46c1,082$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008432.1%27 W · 57 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Vici Gaming67c1,030$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.486949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed REKONIX35c1,000$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.0546535.1%163 W · 302 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa824…c9fcbacked Vici Gaming56c984.82$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.8218053.3%96 W · 84 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x672d…dbd7backed REKONIX13c911.48$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.0740047.5%190 W · 210 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed REKONIX22c876.5$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.836141%25 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked REKONIX55c732.36$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40060646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Vici Gaming52c686.24$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.55935.6%21 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Vici Gaming54c600.97$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.231,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed REKONIX36c500.47$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.7549133.6%165 W · 326 L+1.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed Vici Gaming61c450.32$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.8187645.7%400 W · 476 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed REKONIX47c437.78$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.862650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbb…39dabacked REKONIX48c412.67$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.344346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked REKONIX52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.2417251.2%88 W · 84 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked REKONIX39c344.84$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.4915250%76 W · 76 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Vici Gaming65c335.25$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.0859250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa420…35bbbacked REKONIX33c309.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.492437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0b0…ad2cbacked REKONIX54c303.13$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.5321062.4%131 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4819…c342backed Vici Gaming50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Vici Gaming61c299.99$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.114965.8%98 W · 51 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked REKONIX29c285.15$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6636851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed REKONIX43c248$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.1446451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…2b47backed REKONIX44c227.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.31425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-60.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed REKONIX30c224.48$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.326169.7%60 W · 556 L-2.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked REKONIX36c201.18$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6295841.1%394 W · 564 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Vici Gaming58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8414661%89 W · 57 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed REKONIX14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2833541.2%138 W · 197 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Vici Gaming47c199.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.9934443.9%151 W · 193 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Vici Gaming52c192.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6121751.6%112 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfadf…dda0backed Vici Gaming65c190.95$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8329245.9%134 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1720…747fbacked Vici Gaming65c185.37$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.379751.5%50 W · 47 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc13f…ca64backed REKONIX32c156.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.041070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Vici Gaming63c147$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3973743.6%321 W · 416 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Vici Gaming59c145.45$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.452243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed REKONIX28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4072637.5%272 W · 454 L+3.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed REKONIX19c138.46$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.072825%7 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Vici Gaming64c118.37$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1373554.7%402 W · 333 L-3.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd439…21d3backed REKONIX35c112.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4031644.9%142 W · 174 L-18.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x88b5…7b0bbacked REKONIX36c108.3$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.924626.1%12 W · 34 L-6.8wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-57.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed Vici Gaming39c107.13$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2737549.3%185 W · 190 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed Vici Gaming47c107.04$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.423347.2%110 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Vici Gaming17c100$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8365625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53e0…b08ebacked Vici Gaming16c99.76$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+212.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Vici Gaming67c97.65$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6546664.2%299 W · 167 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf60c…f540backed Vici Gaming64c97.24$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.65362.3%33 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Vici Gaming53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.343348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11ff…4447backed REKONIX42c93.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8122534.2%77 W · 148 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe180…889bbacked Vici Gaming66c90.9$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.912456.5%70 W · 54 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Vici Gaming63c90$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.34531.1%14 W · 31 L-5.5wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-39.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Vici Gaming61c86.25$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.738649.5%191 W · 195 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Vici Gaming50c82.8$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.464123.4%150 W · 491 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68e5…b9a4backed REKONIX28c70.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb79…6274backed Vici Gaming21c70$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5517152%89 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed REKONIX52c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.477941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07aa…f2f1backed REKONIX31c55.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.222313%3 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.19per pick32cpaid-66.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Vici Gaming73c52.03$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.853250%16 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a3f…38e4backed REKONIX39c51.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.132142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafe4…0cb5backed Vici Gaming48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.251361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.23per pick38cpaid+51.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Vici Gaming69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.51844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed REKONIX40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014547.6%69 W · 76 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Vici Gaming59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.522845.6%104 W · 124 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed REKONIX31c45.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411836.4%43 W · 75 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Vici Gaming40c45.08$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9753634%182 W · 354 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6630…703cbacked REKONIX49c44.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…8229backed Vici Gaming67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7833743.6%147 W · 190 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked REKONIX53c44.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.99754.6%53 W · 44 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e4b…ebb4backed Vici Gaming46c41.66$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x126f…4cddbacked REKONIX49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-26.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked REKONIX62c40.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.078061.3%49 W · 31 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed REKONIX40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168440.5%34 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f6d…ae0ebacked Vici Gaming75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Vici Gaming71c39.55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5526958.7%158 W · 111 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8aa…0ae3backed Vici Gaming79c32.91$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.914369.8%30 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick67cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa438…f0eabacked REKONIX36c31.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Vici Gaming51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.734063.2%215 W · 125 L+38.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x425f…0f7abacked REKONIX36c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.818154.7%99 W · 82 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a05…4c5abacked Vici Gaming79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.39478.7%74 W · 20 L+13.0wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+20.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb83d…3560backed REKONIX72c27.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9388…8b79backed Vici Gaming65c23.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.08862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde8c…307abacked Vici Gaming67c17.63$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.78475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x321c…8e55backed Vici Gaming75c14.53$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.63560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.