TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc13f…ca64

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
312
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 56 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST11261.6%69 W · 43 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 112 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.72
Jazz vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+69.6%+$9.04
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+143.9%+$17.11
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$37.46
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$19.1
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25.32
Magic vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneylinebacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.23
Raptors vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Pelicans vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Heat vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+53.9%+$7.95
Bulls vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.35
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+70.5%+$12.51
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.47
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+49.3%+$8.37
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Suns vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$22.2
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+39.9%+$11.16
Hornets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+67.6%+$21.38
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Knicks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+42.8%+$10.1
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$21.77
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25.28
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Showing 25 of 112 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST3941%16 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Alverca vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+26.1%+$19.58
Sparta Rotterdam vs. NEC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+26.6%+$13.35
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$16.14
AVS Futebol vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$135
Kocaelispor vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+26.7%+$29.41
FC Volendam vs. PSV: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+37%+$5.55
CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.64
FC Groningen vs. PSV: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+44.1%+$21.02
AZ vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$16.78
Galatasaray SK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Heracles Almelo vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.92
Sparta Rotterdam vs. NAC Breda: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+39.7%+$61.95
Will AZ win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Heracles Almelo vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+53.8%+$7
Heracles Almelo vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+40.8%+$16.34
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Molde FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Telstar 1963 vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+173.9%+$100.77
Will CD Nacional vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Kayserispor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+186.2%+$97.21
Will FC København win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+203%+$33.5
Will FC Groningen vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+207.5%+$166.72
Will FC Groningen win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$105.5
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST3158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Burruchaga vs. Kopriva: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+37%+$4.86
Atmane vs. Cobolli: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+28.2%+$7.05
Alexandrova vs. Linette: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+108.3%+$12.2
Transylvania Open: Yue Yuan vs Sara Sorribes Tormobacked Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+65.3%+$15.8
Open Sud de France: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18.9
Open Sud de France, Qualification: Clement Chidekh vs Moise Kouamebacked Chidekh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$104.26
Open Sud de France, Qualification: Andrea Vavassori vs Hugo Grenierbacked Vavassori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Open Sud de France, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Martin Dammbacked Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40.65
ASB Classic: Eliot Spizzirri vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+38.9%+$6.61
Adelaide International: Diana Shnaider vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16
Adelaide International: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Sebastian Kordabacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$85.54
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Marcos Giron vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+52.2%+$19.84
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.76
Brisbane International: Rinky Hijikata vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+82.5%+$10.73
Brisbane International: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$17
ASB Classic: Iva Jovic vs Sofia Costoulasbacked Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+33.6%+$7.73
Open de Moselle: Corentin Moutet vs Aleksandar Vukicbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$99.4
Open de Moselle: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$38
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14.9
Open de Moselle: Jan Choinski vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+98.1%+$55.81
Hellenic Championship, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Mackenzie McDonaldbacked McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+35.7%+$21.77
Open de Moselle, Qualification: Vitaliy Sachko vs Clement Taburbacked Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+81.8%+$18
Chennai Open: Mia Pohankova vs Diane Parrybacked Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.05
Chennai Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudeebacked Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.95
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+94.1%+$31.7
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST2171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20.71
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$22.2
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20.68
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$43.39
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+51.5%+$8.04
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX - Game 3 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+37.9%+$25.54
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+39.9%+$56.41
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+53.8%+$9.02
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+38.1%+$11.34
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.71
LoL: KT Rolster vs OKSavingsBank BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+33.3%+$3.83
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+29.9%+$6.1
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+45.4%+$15.63
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+26.8%+$14.12
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO3)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+56.3%+$8.72
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+57.6%+$18.9
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+53.6%+$9.43
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+90.5%+$18.1
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+157.8%+$66.55
All 21 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CD Riestra vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+42.2%+$71.67
CA Tigre vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+35.1%+$17.57
CA Paranaense vs. Santos FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+44.9%+$31.45
CA Paranaense vs. Santos FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+109.7%+$102.52
CA Mineiro vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$92.61
Mirassol FC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$82
Mirassol FC vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$9.99
AA Estudiantes vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+33.3%+$7.6
CA Lanús vs. CA Talleres: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+26.6%+$7.97
CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+47.6%+$5.1
CA Tigre vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$32.06
Tigres de la UANL vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Tigres de la UANL vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+25%+$6.25
Will EC Bahia win on 2025-11-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$82.11
CD Guadalajara vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25
CD Guadalajara vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will Mirassol FC vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will CA Banfield win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will CA Mineiro win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+423.4%+$99.5
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+58.6%+$57.67
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$110.67
West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+49.3%+$10.84
Leeds United vs. Liverpool: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Leeds United vs. Liverpool: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$33.2
Chelsea vs. Arsenal: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+27.8%+$155.88
Aston Villa vs. Wolves: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.16
Nottingham Forest vs. Brighton: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+43.8%+$30.65
Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+55.4%+$44.32
Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15.87
Will Brentford win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-11-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will Oxford United FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+100%+$33
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+284.6%+$71.15
Will Brentford vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$222.25
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$10
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+52.5%+$31.49
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+30%+$24.33
Cádiz CF vs. UD Almería: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+58.7%+$12.92
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$18.5
Elche CF vs. Girona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$37.2
Real Betis vs. Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Sevilla vs. Real Betis: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+70.3%+$45.72
Real Sociedad vs. Villarreal: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$240
Real Sociedad vs. Villarreal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Mallorca vs. Getafe end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+63.9%+$21.14
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs REKONIX (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50.04
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+47.2%+$17.48
Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs KUKUYS V2 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yakutou Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group Cbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+65.5%+$9.9
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7.22
Dota 2: 4Pirates vs Power Rangers (BO3)backed Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+26.5%+$6.28
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+78.6%+$66.79
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+37%+$11.1
Holstein Kiel vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+37%+$7.09
FC Bayern München vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+75.4%+$12.07
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+56.8%+$8.52
Hamburger SV vs. Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Hamburger SV vs. Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$33
RB Leipzig vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)backed Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$18.46
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$68.6
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+59%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+69.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-52.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$42.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mali vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+28.2%+$9.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$177.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.