Premier League · resolved market
West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0278e9d6bb2a090752f336bce399e46f928d9f7308c356a7a90cb520b98a9c9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 6,797$2,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,119.44 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 37c | 3,170$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.9 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 17c | 2,087$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.01 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 17c | 1,871$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.81 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 17c | 1,422$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.74 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.42 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5849…dcf1backed Under | 18c | 1,155$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.1 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 30c | 807.77$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Over | 51c | 782.47$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 17c | 750$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 63c | 557.03$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 77c | 525$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.75 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over | 42c | 480$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b9…8714backed Over | 69c | 316.13$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Over | 38c | 291.28$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.67 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 67c | 283.99$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.88 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 272.35$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.56 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 66c | 211.76$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Over | 80c | 199.89$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.91 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 31c | 193.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.61 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x386b…6d36backed Over | 8c | 176.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 10c | 156.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 48c | 154.31$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5654…3fa2backed Over | 10c | 127.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…b7e9backed Under | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 63c | 98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 51c | 80.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 31c | 77.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…54d2backed Over | 37c | 59.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2823…eb3dbacked Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ea…22d6backed Under | 55c | 48.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Over | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…29c5backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed Over | 72c | 35.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 45c | 33.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 52c | 32.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 144 | 63.9%92 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5this page
- West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5Under won
- West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5Under won
- West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.