Premier League · resolved market
West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65e719faddc3917438e70c571adabbb6a1c790596ee885ca4e7632fa6badd269
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked Under | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e1…0f14backed Over | 21c | 1,019$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.83 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…9d1fbacked Over | 21c | 971.15$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 14c | 486.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.78 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 21c | 447.62$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 78c | 299.84$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 20c | 249.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c34…dfafbacked Over | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 20c | 166.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd442…f946backed Under | 80c | 165.65$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x323f…f31ebacked Under | 80c | 163.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 68cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…2e72backed Over | 9c | 148.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3284…45adbacked Under | 79c | 128$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Over | 22c | 95.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 20c | 72.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d8…30d9backed Under | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 20c | 50.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd61…5507backed Under | 80c | 37.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 80c | 34.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0247…bb07backed Under | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 80c | 24.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Under | 78c | 14.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…a6edbacked Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5this page
- West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5Under won
- West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5Under won
- West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.