Premier League · resolved market
West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43331511412497f012b0c33d640956abd34df7a0424933e608217c5d75ffa501
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd70…ccdbbacked Over | 61c | 10,702$6,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,527.97 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 9,391$5,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,349.01 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 39c | 5,271$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220.17 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.97 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…a91ebacked Under | 39c | 4,585$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,796.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 50c | 2,030$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.83 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 61c | 1,700$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 1,437$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.81 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 21c | 1,249$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.38 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Over | 38c | 717.67$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.56 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 17c | 700$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 60c | 583.33$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 60c | 555$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…0123backed Over | 63c | 542.79$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.59 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 61c | 411.57$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.23 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Over | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Under | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 60c | 372.72$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.63 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 56c | 360$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 38c | 309.9$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.14 | 857 | 48.5%416 W · 441 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 28c | 284$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.52 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 45c | 270$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Under | 39c | 250$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 46c | 209.16$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.21 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 32c | 183.14$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.42 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 61c | 167.61$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.06 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 45c | 165.62$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…24fbbacked Over | 19c | 165.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 38c | 164.03$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.7 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6e…453abacked Over | 16c | 143.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 39c | 142$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.62 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 31c | 130.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 109.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 39c | 103.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.66 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a3…ffb4backed Over | 19c | 102.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Over | 40c | 102.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 16.5%14 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 559 | 55.1%308 W · 251 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Under | 50c | 81.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…f2f1backed Over | 31c | 76.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 39c | 67.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Over | 61c | 67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 409 | 42.1%172 W · 237 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 52c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked Over | 51c | 50.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…62b3backed Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61bc…d436backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…83e4backed Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed Over | 61c | 46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 53c | 41.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f26…14f0backed Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f99…e345backed Over | 61c | 37.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccef…c302backed Under | 39c | 32.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +48%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d2…3287backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Over | 61c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 75c | 31.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff6e…5860backed Under | 40c | 28.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 59c | 27.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7931…020abacked Under | 40c | 27.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 70c | 26.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 742 | 56.9%422 W · 320 L | +46.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x282a…2866backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89d4…e370backed Over | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 55c | 19.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 426 | 58%247 W · 179 L | +24.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5this page
- West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5Under won
- West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5Under won
- West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.