TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf566…bbb9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
148
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: La Liga, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 59 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST2941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sheffield United FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+25%+$33.26
Swansea City AFC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+38.9%+$12.31
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$122.88
West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$28.21
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+25%+$14.8
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.4
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will West Ham win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.3
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$46
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.6
Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$24
Will Brighton win on 2025-08-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$29.4
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-08-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$28
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.8
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.6
Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+525%+$84
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$44.8
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will Everton win on 2025-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Leeds United win on 2025-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.5
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 10, 2025, EDT2630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.4
Brewers vs. Rangersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Pirates vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$33.6
Dodgers vs. Piratesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$53
Dodgers vs. Piratesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$62
Mets vs. Tigersbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$39.2
Nationals vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$37
Red Sox vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.6
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.8
Rays vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Tigers vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Mariners vs. Oriolesbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.25
Diamondbacks vs. Rangersbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+150%+$36
Royals vs. Twinsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.9
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.9
Rays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+272.7%+$87.8
Cubs vs. Cardinalsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.32
Angels vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+351%+$75.19
Athletics vs. Oriolesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.2
Astros vs. Red Soxbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.17
Royals vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$12.25
Dodgers vs. Raysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.4
Rangers vs. Marinersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.1
Braves vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-42.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Ferencvárosi TC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+25%+$16.57
Lille OSC vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$79
GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. KRC Genk: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+31.6%+$26.4
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2025-09-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$44.8
Will Lille win on 2025-09-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.8
Will PAOK win on 2025-08-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.8
Will Samsunspor win on 2025-08-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$29.6
Will Malmo FF win on 2025-08-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.8
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-08-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.09
Will AEK Larnaka win on 2025-08-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$20
Will Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2025-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will Panathinaikos win on 2025-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.48
Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.49
Will Ludogorets win on 2025-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+100%+$25
Will Malmo FF win on 2025-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will Brann win on 2025-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.99
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 18 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+105%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+29.9%+$29.67
Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+31.6%+$24
Will Benfica win on 2025-08-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.2
Will FC Kopenhagen win on 2025-08-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.2
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-08-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.79
Will Ferencvaros win on 2025-08-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+900%+$90
Will Qarabag win on 2025-08-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$34.39
Will FK Crvena Zvezda win on 2025-08-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$39.2
Will Sturm Graz win on 2025-08-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.2
Will Celtic win on 2025-08-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$48.8
Will Celtic win on 2025-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+669.2%+$86.97
Will FC Basel win on 2025-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$22
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will Benfica win on 2025-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will FK Crvena Zvezda win on 2025-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$32.5
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will Ferencvaros win on 2025-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
All 17 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Milan vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+63.9%+$29.64
Will Udinese win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$10.58
Will AC Milan win on 2025-09-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.9
Will Lecce win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Atalanta win on 2025-09-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will AS Roma win on 2025-09-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$52
Will Juventus win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.6
Will Como win on 2025-08-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$17
Will AC Milan win on 2025-08-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.4
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-08-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Will Inter win on 2025-08-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.2
Will Udinese win on 2025-08-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$40.78
Will Como win on 2025-08-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.8
Will Napoli win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick38cpaid+105.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Getafe win on 2025-09-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.2
Will Villarreal win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$32.8
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$68
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-08-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$35.2
Will Sevilla win on 2025-08-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$35.2
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-08-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.78
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-08-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$43.2
Will Alaves win on 2025-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will Real Betis win on 2025-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+669.2%+$87
Will Espanyol win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$127.5
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 13 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Köln vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$23.6
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-02-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$68.79
Will Bayern München win on 2025-09-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$33.6
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-08-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.47
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-08-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+100%+$35
Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-08-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$40.79
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$79.8
Will Bayern München win on 2025-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+86.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-3.5wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+106.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sri Lanka win on 2025-09-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$7.59
Will Lithuania win on 2025-09-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$31.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Melbourne City FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+29.9%+$43.53
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-02-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 12, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Carolina State vs. Wake Forestbacked North Carolina State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$22.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego FC vs. CF Montréal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+29.9%+$46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$82.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.