Asian League · resolved market
Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cb3075fef7df9e2632009ca463e8fdbf59f591f3f3fd4fa5cde2158eaa83b09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 5,267$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,765.05 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 31c | 3,260$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.58 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Under | 29c | 1,423$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.03 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 62c | 1,361$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.18 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Under | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 71c | 705.06$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.59 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Under | 20c | 616.28$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.02 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 71c | 567.04$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.1 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 57c | 556.3$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.55 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 18c | 546.85$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.41 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 57c | 429.34$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.39 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 55c | 372.98$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.14 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed Over | 65c | 347.02$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.56 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 58c | 346.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 283 | 32.5%92 W · 191 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4d…254ebacked Over | 78c | 301.5$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.62 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Over | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 76c | 245$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.15 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Under | 70c | 224.13$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.45 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 50c | 223.63$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 63c | 220$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.8 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 36c | 208.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.52 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 44cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 54c | 183.05$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.37 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6f…5a01backed Over | 61c | 174$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 18c | 150$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 48.6%118 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 52c | 136$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.85 | 217 | 54.4%118 W · 99 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 18c | 135$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Under | 20c | 130.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.64 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 67c | 128.2$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…2ea6backed Under | 29c | 124.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…af03backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 51c | 119.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 39c | 119.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.7 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 18c | 115$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.3 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 71c | 113.9$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.87 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 18c | 112$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.84 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed Over | 75c | 110.32$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Under | 58c | 109.41$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 12c | 104.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.78 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 20cpaid | +356.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 47c | 103.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x508b…2797backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 59c | 91.87$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 18c | 90$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 18c | 90$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 16c | 79.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.74 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 18c | 75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…e707backed Over | 76c | 69.82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 79c | 62.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 71c | 61.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 18c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 18c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 18c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 18c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 18c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 18c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 18c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 18c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 18c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 18c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 18c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 51c | 59.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 69c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9e97backed Over | 76c | 51.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fee…6d03backed Over | 76c | 41.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Over | 71c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc585…3212backed Over | 76c | 33.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 51c | 30.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x501c…34d8backed Under | 67c | 26.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Under | 45c | 22.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Over | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Under | 69c | 14.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Riyadh Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Riyadh Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ahli Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Ahli Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.