Asian League · resolved market
Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61e00d015f3d85436820e5493b0a48b2534dfa941089cdce72b7f36c7d993120
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 1,698$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.59 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4989…8ff0backed Over | 63c | 910.05$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 60c | 829.6$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 60c | 788$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 40c | 391.27$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.88 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 40c | 362.73$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.33 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…29c5backed Over | 50c | 302.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 34c | 220.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 68c | 216.18$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.78 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 52c | 193$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 37c | 180.01$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.96 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 29c | 158.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 55c | 136$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.46 | 219 | 53.9%118 W · 101 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 37c | 135$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 58c | 135$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…6179backed Over | 58c | 94.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked Under | 70c | 92.87$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 37c | 90$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 49c | 83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 63c | 79.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 40c | 74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 41c | 72.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 40c | 69.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 37c | 62.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 56c | 59.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 44c | 59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Under | 41c | 52.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 41c | 48.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 63c | 47.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 57c | 44.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…05dfbacked Under | 42c | 43.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +141.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 55c | 38.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Under | 58c | 37.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 42c | 36.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe94a…0ff1backed Over | 60c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Under | 40c | 33.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 50c | 25.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Over | 64c | 23.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Riyadh Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Riyadh Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ahli Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Ahli Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.