TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe94a…0ff1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
216
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT6036.7%22 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kurds declare independence from Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.49
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.33
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+56%+$131.48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$406.04
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,003.46
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.15
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+413.6%+$177.32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.38
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.94
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+112.6%+$60.07
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.78
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$698Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+101.7%+$709.94
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.4
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+673.5%+$722.9
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.68
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.76
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.87
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.77
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.25
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.48
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$14.84
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+186.9%+$601.81
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+326.6%+$66.24
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$421.65
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.58
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2850%14 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+95.7%+$446.36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.9
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.13
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$16.1
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.7
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.06
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.49
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.07
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.75
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.89
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.39
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.26
Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.49
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$66.17
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$6.82
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+126.4%+$39.07
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+78%+$30.68
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+223.8%+$38.4
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+152.1%+$54.3
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$406.38
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$48.61
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+268.7%+$426.34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$46.65
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.46
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+561%+$281.15
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.45
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+454.2%+$78.69
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.7
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.28
Will Ukraine re-enter Novomykolaivka by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+240.1%+$35.3
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+131.7%+$65.32
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.85
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.1%+$4.48
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.04
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.13
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$68.73
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$144.94
Will Russia enter Kurylivka by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$35.06
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+54%+$6.54
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+192.4%+$32.9
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$5.27
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$5.07
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.69
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$5.07
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$5.07
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.93
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$6.28
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$6.89
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+89%+$9.51
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$3.93
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+113.5%+$15.95
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+26.1%+$3.1
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$17.55
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chile Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4.2
Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$241.4
Pune: Manoj Dhamne Manas vs Duje Ajdukovicbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Lugano: Petr Brunclik vs Joel Schwaerzlerbacked Brunclik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.45
Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.6
Tigre 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$18.08
Lugano: Marc-Andrea Huesler vs Daniil Glinkabacked Marc-Andrea Huesler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+109.8%+$15.7
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jiri Leheckabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+37.8%+$16.45
St. Brieuc: Matteo Martineau vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Martineau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+41.6%+$7.35
Merida Open Akron: Magda Linette vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintsevabacked Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15.76
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+63.1%+$12.62
Dubai Tennis Championships: Jenson Brooksby vs Karen Khachanovbacked Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+71.1%+$20.86
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$9.96
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs WW Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$18.52
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$40.21
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Galorys (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$94.22
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+61.8%+$47.79
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+67.1%+$28.1
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Tricked (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+70%+$24.7
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Tricked - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+30.5%+$34.98
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick35cpaid+37.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid-39.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+94.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+36.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid+37.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20.85
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+81.8%+$19.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$28.79
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked McNeese State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Como 1907 vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$3.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump out as President by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.