Serie A · resolved market
Como 1907 vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd66225b04acf61f3cf0446980ce23f43cc0326fd4a569c4cd4e293c9658f63a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 3,570$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.99 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 26c | 2,283$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.63 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Over | 74c | 2,258$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.19 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 74c | 2,173$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.9 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 74c | 1,650$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…e7f0backed Under | 27c | 1,119$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Under | 27c | 888.89$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 26c | 832.9$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.22 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 73c | 649.42$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.34 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 19c | 594.35$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.31 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 26c | 499.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…3b00backed Over | 74c | 301$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.26 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 71c | 282.44$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.91 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…4fd7backed Over | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8750…0841backed Under | 29c | 235.56$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 25c | 205.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 21c | 200.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc56…77cdbacked Under | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 26c | 157.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 26c | 156.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Over | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 25 | 84%21 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under | 27c | 112.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 25c | 106.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Under | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 25c | 86.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d8…30d9backed Over | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…a292backed Over | 73c | 55.89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 75c | 51.18$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 72c | 30.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f6…4288backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 70cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…5557backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 73c | 26.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 72c | 20.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe038…7e6abacked Over | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…1e73backed Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94a…0ff1backed Over | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…b2cdbacked Over | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Como 1907 vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5this page
- Como 1907 vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Como 1907 vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. US Lecce: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)Como 1907 won
- Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)Como 1907 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.