Serie A · resolved market
Como 1907 vs. US Lecce: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa34513435d23509391a0af436e74884653926538d40b1aea188ae3ea16c99ded
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 3,466$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.05 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 32c | 1,897$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.54 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 23c | 1,259$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.39 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed Over | 21c | 1,015$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.45 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7776…be8dbacked Over | 80c | 593.38$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 39c | 436.37$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Under | 47c | 432.66$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8750…0841backed Under | 22c | 334.68$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 66c | 317.8$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.05 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 38c | 308.62$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.21 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…a45cbacked Over | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5329…e2f3backed Under | 80c | 262.5$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 12c | 249$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 12c | 236.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…5ac3backed Under | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +68%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Over | 76c | 124.25$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.43 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 59c | 118.58$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Over | 70c | 105$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Over | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…8745backed Over | 51c | 98.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 92.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 45c | 91.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Under | 21c | 90$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x468d…cf23backed Under | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Under | 79c | 67.09$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Over | 79c | 65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f84…6c38backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Over | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 28c | 46.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +6.0wins | +0.35per pick | 41cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 24c | 46.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 36c | 44.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 31c | 41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb56…efa6backed Under | 52c | 40.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -76%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 53c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 80c | 32.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 79c | 31.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Under | 55c | 29.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…65babacked Under | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 68c | 19.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Como 1907 vs. US Lecce: O/U 4.5this page
- Como 1907 vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Como 1907 vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)Como 1907 won
- Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)Como 1907 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.