Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfae5b15d744d82e7077e1f516e08c90bea50c54b4ccafca40e5c9082fc5ac218
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Como 1907of Como 1907, US Lecce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Como 1907 | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed US Lecce | 53c | 4,593$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.72 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Como 1907 | 41c | 4,138$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.25 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed US Lecce | 56c | 4,129$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.59 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Como 1907 | 79c | 2,877$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.59 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed US Lecce | 20c | 2,756$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.2 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +275.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked US Lecce | 57c | 1,297$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.92 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…1050backed Como 1907 | 45c | 1,296$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.29 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed US Lecce | 56c | 1,103$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.74 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Como 1907 | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Como 1907 | 47c | 813.5$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.68 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Como 1907 | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.81 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed US Lecce | 8c | 756.14$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed US Lecce | 45c | 738.49$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed US Lecce | 59c | 652.39$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.81 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed US Lecce | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked US Lecce | 58c | 508.08$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.19 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Como 1907 | 45c | 499.97$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.99 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked US Lecce | 58c | 298$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.84 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa4…c30abacked US Lecce | 55c | 277.6$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Como 1907 | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Como 1907 | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Como 1907 | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed US Lecce | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 25 | 84%21 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked US Lecce | 57c | 174.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed US Lecce | 54c | 152.1$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.13 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Como 1907 | 42c | 141$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f48…6a8bbacked Como 1907 | 45c | 138.8$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe739…d2a5backed Como 1907 | 45c | 138.8$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed US Lecce | 26c | 131.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Como 1907 | 30c | 128.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.68 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Como 1907 | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…2be7backed Como 1907 | 41c | 126.83$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.83 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Como 1907 | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +36%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Como 1907 | 46c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed US Lecce | 65c | 65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Como 1907 | 79c | 55.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked US Lecce | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Como 1907 | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Como 1907 | 41c | 49.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed US Lecce | 60c | 43.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked US Lecce | 58c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…639ebacked US Lecce | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked US Lecce | 66c | 34.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed US Lecce | 62c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa684…ca71backed US Lecce | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed US Lecce | 58c | 17.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)this page
- Como 1907 vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Como 1907 vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. US Lecce: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)Como 1907 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.