Serie A · resolved market
Como 1907 vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57a21b196cc7b6f7c9c7fb85dd0ce18de84d8ed55bd74a0795a853d62918d7b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 3,658$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.52 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 74c | 2,501$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.05 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 72c | 725.52$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.82 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Under | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec5…257ebacked Under | 74c | 500$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 26c | 396.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.8 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 25c | 264.44$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.04 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 77c | 157.67$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Under | 18c | 155$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a8…d0e7backed Under | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb56…efa6backed Under | 35c | 117.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -76%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 72c | 109.58$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Under | 25c | 85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5730…891ebacked Under | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 58c | 81.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +6.0wins | +0.35per pick | 41cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Over | 28c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 68c | 71.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 27c | 68.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 72c | 66.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 75c | 55.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 25c | 51.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 74c | 50.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x415d…a37cbacked Under | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 24c | 48.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 74c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 63c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 60c | 33.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Over | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e94…2f80backed Over | 78c | 25.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Over | 52c | 23.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c21…12bdbacked Under | 76c | 18.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked Under | 75c | 16.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 73c | 16.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3c…da61backed Under | 73c | 14.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Como 1907 vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5this page
- Como 1907 vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Como 1907 vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. US Lecce: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)Como 1907 won
- Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)Como 1907 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.