Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f9057f191479f1fc34c3539c3fff9deadb30440c68cbdbdc60e2f66f6448a88

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $489,449

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $489,449 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	3c	51,568$1,596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,595.54	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	0c	27,508$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.75	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	1c	22,495$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.84	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa200…d145backed Yes	2c	18,356$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.77	44	27.3%12 W · 32 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12b0…e6d7backed Yes	0c	17,691$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.85	99	23.2%23 W · 76 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+60.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc80f…6147backed Yes	0c	17,000$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	14	0%0 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa459…7dd6backed Yes	0c	17,000$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	2cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	5c	8,088$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.13	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	2c	7,500$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.37	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc5b…eb72backed Yes	7c	6,486$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451.47	86	33.7%29 W · 57 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x395a…a05dbacked Yes	0c	6,187$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	9	0%0 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05d9…780cbacked Yes	3c	6,131$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.06	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	1c	6,113$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.31	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	1c	6,000$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	3c	5,317$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.71	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03cf…7d11backed Yes	9c	5,113$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.42	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	+8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3943…f3c1backed Yes	5c	4,862$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.79	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ef…e1edbacked Yes	2c	4,483$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.11	35	20%7 W · 28 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	6c	4,345$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.38	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97fc…229ebacked Yes	7c	4,296$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.55	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x760e…119ebacked Yes	4c	4,286$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+4.2wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce26…f3e8backed Yes	10c	3,980$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.23	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	6c	3,800$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.62	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb7…6d16backed Yes	7c	3,791$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.29	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	2c	3,600$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.04	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	5c	3,367$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	6c	3,281$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes	4c	3,270$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.74	97	11.3%11 W · 86 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-63%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	10c	3,227$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.49	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes	5c	3,183$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.88	114	18.4%21 W · 93 L	+10.0wins	+0.09per pick	10cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	5c	3,048$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.04	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	0c	3,047$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.44	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	5c	2,959$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.4	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b3b…899fbacked Yes	6c	2,955$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.49	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	+16%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfb5…0d6abacked Yes	6c	2,853$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.1	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+54.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes	2c	2,800$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.85	238	19.3%46 W · 192 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-25%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a68…88e6backed Yes	9c	2,666$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.28	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce5a…0a70backed Yes	6c	2,586$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.62	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	12cpaid	+152.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	2,465$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.31	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	5c	2,418$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.35	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaac8…9aa2backed Yes	8c	2,325$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	6c	2,252$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.35	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x466b…f89bbacked Yes	6c	2,232$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.3	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4cd…e78bbacked Yes	9c	2,197$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.94	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	5c	2,164$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.01	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	7c	2,162$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.81	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	2c	2,136$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.15	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	7c	2,105$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdfa…c05fbacked Yes	5c	2,032$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.44	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	2c	2,010$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.41	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7146…7255backed Yes	8c	2,007$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.52	264	11.4%30 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes	4c	2,000$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.44	226	10.6%24 W · 202 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	5c	1,971$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.19	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7cf…db1ebacked Yes	1c	1,937$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	81	9.9%8 W · 73 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4837…41fdbacked Yes	4c	1,839$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.92	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2559…460bbacked Yes	14c	1,839$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.92	264	18.6%49 W · 215 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa657…00bfbacked Yes	2c	1,805$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.17	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x437b…c7c1backed Yes	5c	1,797$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e72…cc9cbacked Yes	3c	1,788$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.27per pick	23cpaid	+52.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	1c	1,760$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	6c	1,726$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.43	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	4c	1,695$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.19	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x71c4…f544backed Yes	4c	1,643$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b5b…4a17backed Yes	1c	1,626$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	142	16.9%24 W · 118 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes	3c	1,500$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.4	140	25.7%36 W · 104 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	1c	1,500$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	6c	1,480$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.03	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5839…3d9fbacked Yes	8c	1,436$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.87	39	23.1%9 W · 30 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…3d2cbacked Yes	5c	1,403$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.94	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe94a…0ff1backed Yes	2c	1,355$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.81	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b2a…70d2backed Yes	7c	1,312$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91	44	29.5%13 W · 31 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a55…dec1backed Yes	1c	1,300$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.4	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafbb…9213backed Yes	4c	1,300$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.4	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	+2.6wins	+0.12per pick	26cpaid	+118.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	9c	1,297$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.61	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	7c	1,245$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.71	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x62f4…4064backed Yes	11c	1,227$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.51	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	5c	1,204$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.63	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f85…4161backed Yes	4c	1,174$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.66	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ff8…6d63backed Yes	4c	1,128$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.63	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b71…a813backed Yes	5c	1,101$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.65	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5539…5cbebacked Yes	3c	1,100$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.4	137	13.1%18 W · 119 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	+68.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc99e…3853backed Yes	1c	1,090$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.95	197	22.8%45 W · 152 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25b0…8e14backed Yes	5c	1,079$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.63	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe343…23fdbacked Yes	2c	1,050$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.3	154	35.1%54 W · 100 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86df…f4cfbacked Yes	5c	1,047$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.32	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	7c	1,032$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.51	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc67f…dac8backed Yes	7c	1,020$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.37	62	22.6%14 W · 48 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	3c	1,012$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.82	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf111…2a81backed Yes	3c	1,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	88	5.7%5 W · 83 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc9b4…4d69backed Yes	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	24	0%0 W · 24 L	-2.7wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	10c	1,000$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.9	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x387c…2423backed Yes	9c	999.63$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.34	176	28.4%50 W · 126 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d57…4e54backed Yes	4c	962$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.33	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5f3…1fc1backed Yes	10c	910.94$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.46	62	24.2%15 W · 47 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8032…7c6cbacked Yes	4c	903.57$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	243	26.7%65 W · 178 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa456…ca24backed Yes	4c	895$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.38	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaebd…c462backed Yes	4c	875.91$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.58	49	12.2%6 W · 43 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x102b…a7acbacked Yes	7c	867.29$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.6	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1941…9ff3backed Yes	6c	862.89$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	55	12.7%7 W · 48 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82b2…042cbacked Yes	4c	848$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.31	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?this page
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?Yes won
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event