Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f98f4506374a11b5d4deacf051e3b6192ec58e0f2036d18edb03d5b3985d3a3

Rebuilt 16 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $195,190

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,190 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x05d9…780cbacked Yes	0c	52,358$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5409…79dbbacked Yes	0c	13,250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99b3…56eebacked Yes	0c	4,749$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-87.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	11c	4,287$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.44	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97fc…229ebacked Yes	7c	3,786$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.79	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	16c	3,057$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	5c	2,559$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.17	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	4c	2,510$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	14c	2,500$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.29	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…3b1ebacked Yes	15c	2,247$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.43	48	16.7%8 W · 40 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325c…25aebacked Yes	1c	2,021$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.66	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes	15c	2,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	226	10.6%24 W · 202 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	13c	2,000$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	8c	1,831$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.92	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdce…a1d1backed Yes	1c	1,738$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.68	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Yes	6c	1,642$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.54	124	12.1%15 W · 109 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	18c	1,597$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.23	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	14c	1,417$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.09	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	17c	1,408$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.75	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes	11c	1,404$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.13	97	11.3%11 W · 86 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-63%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	11c	1,281$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.58	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa713…4485backed Yes	9c	1,270$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117	342	15.8%54 W · 288 L	+20.9wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+32%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	1,200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	9c	1,141$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.59	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	20c	1,139$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.88	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc67f…dac8backed Yes	2c	1,020$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.52	62	22.6%14 W · 48 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f8…bfa5backed Yes	16c	1,004$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.19	96	26%25 W · 71 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bcf…04fcbacked Yes	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	39	12.8%5 W · 34 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	+40.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9314…6bd7backed Yes	5c	975.61$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.42	247	10.9%27 W · 220 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e99…72a0backed Yes	2c	895.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	145	7.6%11 W · 134 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	75c	880.31$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.27	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	797.07$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.72	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	20c	699.99$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	2c	638.15$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.48	272	7%19 W · 253 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff5…2136backed Yes	11c	619.99$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.8	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	29cpaid	+159%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	7c	614.65$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.64	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	26c	602.73$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.15	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf33…7b7cbacked Yes	9c	560.97$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	10c	534.89$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.85	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6fe…7e71backed Yes	21c	532.84$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.91	210	34.8%73 W · 137 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf360…6726backed No	78c	520.1$406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.73	108	24.1%26 W · 82 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cea…a932backed Yes	21c	511.63$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.44	89	25.8%23 W · 66 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	20c	499.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	6c	498.31$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.68	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c2b…d581backed Yes	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d3…6c25backed Yes	21c	474.51$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	7c	467.15$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.16	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04bc…5377backed Yes	22c	455.36$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	34cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7146…7255backed Yes	8c	437.5$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	264	11.4%30 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5dc…17d8backed Yes	14c	428.46$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	183	21.9%40 W · 143 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	25c	400$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdea3…1b1abacked Yes	5c	399.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	51	15.7%8 W · 43 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d67…1a08backed Yes	15c	399.98$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	73	28.8%21 W · 52 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+119.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fcd…c5debacked Yes	8c	372.83$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	63	25.4%16 W · 47 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x035f…33ebbacked Yes	17c	350$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.5	40	7.5%3 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba63…6271backed Yes	15c	348.95$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.66	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdb9…1418backed Yes	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	259	44.4%115 W · 144 L	+10.3wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+21%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	4c	299.07$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.37	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes	13c	285.16$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.98	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbced…7f66backed Yes	8c	255.88$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.28	197	26.9%53 W · 144 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9955…85afbacked No	80c	250$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	183	57.9%106 W · 77 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0fc…88b1backed Yes	14c	221.78$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.81	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7778…2a76backed Yes	21c	202.94$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.65	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01f3…2fecbacked Yes	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa9…c4bcbacked Yes	20c	199.98$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c04…6587backed Yes	10c	160$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	470	32.6%153 W · 317 L	+13.5wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x323f…a511backed Yes	9c	160$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.14	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.15per pick	23cpaid	-83.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefa1…5aa4backed Yes	15c	147.87$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.91	66	24.2%16 W · 50 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	18cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13e8…9a08backed Yes	23c	145.45$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee2…0b0fbacked Yes	15c	100.7$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	+15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x857a…bcbbbacked Yes	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9476…28bcbacked Yes	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	118	38.1%45 W · 73 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	249	32.9%82 W · 167 L	-33.4wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x6d6b…0420backed Yes	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	101	29.7%30 W · 71 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dce…4490backed Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	35	14.3%5 W · 30 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-76.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6782…7e65backed Yes	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc6a…ebe3backed Yes	27c	92.59$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a45…58b5backed No	79c	92.31$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.78	10	90%9 W · 1 L	+1.9wins	+0.19per pick	71cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde0f…57c1backed Yes	17c	91.18$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	217	6%13 W · 204 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x343d…d722backed Yes	25c	89.94$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.49	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3cc…185cbacked Yes	18c	86.05$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.79	66	24.2%16 W · 50 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	19cpaid	+46.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec7a…3372backed Yes	26c	77.18$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes	17c	69.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.2	207	23.7%49 W · 158 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2c…1740backed Yes	25c	68.27$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.07	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6f9…fd9dbacked Yes	21c	57.14$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	47	14.9%7 W · 40 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe126…2f60backed Yes	27c	55.56$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a3…6716backed No	76c	54.87$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.17	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb9…0754backed Yes	22c	49.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	96	36.5%35 W · 61 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebd…c462backed Yes	24c	49.48$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.75	49	12.2%6 W · 43 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5825…1c87backed Yes	27c	41.01$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	52	11.5%6 W · 46 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16c2…219dbacked No	76c	40.36$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.69	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d9…aa37backed No	76c	36$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.64	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.26per pick	75cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22be…45dbbacked No	76c	27.52$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.6	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8997…a1ebbacked No	77c	20.84$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.84	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.19per pick	39cpaid	-74%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf70f…1b9abacked No	79c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.2	152	46.7%71 W · 81 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9db5…701ebacked No	77c	17.17$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4	86	79.1%68 W · 18 L	+9.2wins	+0.11per pick	68cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3759…4acabacked No	80c	13.43$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.69	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6766…404abacked No	80c	12.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?this page
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?Yes won
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event