Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47e3bb0616a698b284145759f805bea5c760acf889e66da0506937698b417c95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $620,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $620,529 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 16c | 60,139$9,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,442 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c4…978fbacked Yes | 18c | 54,619$9,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,665.52 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 30cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 10c | 14,149$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.04 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x265f…a448backed Yes | 4c | 12,020$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.35 | 285 | 34.4%98 W · 187 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 16c | 9,121$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.84 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes | 17c | 8,296$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.99 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 13c | 7,617$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.28 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -63%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 10c | 7,213$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.25 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed Yes | 7c | 6,880$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.23 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 17c | 6,590$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.44 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes | 13c | 5,883$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.7 | 292 | 27.7%81 W · 211 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes | 8c | 5,151$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.97 | 285 | 26.7%76 W · 209 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 11c | 5,025$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.52 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes | 15c | 4,891$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.92 | 149 | 28.2%42 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 9c | 4,397$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.62 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Yes | 3c | 3,948$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Yes | 16c | 3,147$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.01 | 212 | 13.2%28 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d095backed No | 72c | 3,062$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.25 | 546 | 75.1%410 W · 136 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97fc…229ebacked Yes | 17c | 3,034$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.55 | 135 | 11.9%16 W · 119 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 25c | 2,970$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.31 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 12c | 2,804$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.82 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa713…4485backed Yes | 13c | 2,680$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.35 | 342 | 15.8%54 W · 288 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,606$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 456 | 8.3%38 W · 418 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…a743backed Yes | 9c | 2,522$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.87 | 248 | 15.3%38 W · 210 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 16c | 2,511$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.74 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274c…4824backed Yes | 8c | 2,392$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…66f9backed Yes | 29c | 2,387$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.51 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes | 16c | 2,263$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.68 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…a8f4backed No | 78c | 2,100$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.57 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 4c | 2,100$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.03 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…23fdbacked No | 80c | 2,052$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.25 | 154 | 35.1%54 W · 100 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…3b1ebacked Yes | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 48 | 16.7%8 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.7 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f00…487fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,868$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.35 | 280 | 16.4%46 W · 234 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc99e…3853backed Yes | 11c | 1,841$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.32 | 197 | 22.8%45 W · 152 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 13c | 1,740$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.49 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,700$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 238 | 19.3%46 W · 192 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,680$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.34 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…4612backed Yes | 17c | 1,653$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.81 | 273 | 16.8%46 W · 227 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes | 6c | 1,598$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.73 | 327 | 16.8%55 W · 272 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…a85bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,577$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.73 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a80…729cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,527$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.41 | 54 | 11.1%6 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Yes | 19c | 1,516$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.43 | 124 | 12.1%15 W · 109 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 5c | 1,512$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.02 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 7c | 1,500$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 1,196 | 8.7%104 W · 1,092 L | +31.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f55…d4b5backed Yes | 14c | 1,495$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.47 | 332 | 31%103 W · 229 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f3…3137backed Yes | 5c | 1,482$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f6…db6fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,413$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.62 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…824bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,330$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0c…4f2bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,309$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.4 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +125.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2b…d581backed Yes | 37c | 1,294$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf400…83adbacked Yes | 5c | 1,281$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 7c | 1,248$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.46 | 272 | 7%19 W · 253 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb519…481bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,221$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc25e…5908backed Yes | 3c | 1,189$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab8…3e81backed Yes | 19c | 1,180$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.51 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 5c | 1,180$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 121 | 14%17 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe155…45afbacked Yes | 11c | 1,151$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.54 | 209 | 24.9%52 W · 157 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9993…a6cbbacked Yes | 6c | 1,108$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34bf…26e7backed Yes | 19c | 1,071$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.45 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…ed69backed Yes | 5c | 1,060$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 18c | 1,020$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.05 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f8…bfa5backed Yes | 23c | 1,015$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6d…2b09backed Yes | 33c | 1,009$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.77 | 250 | 23.2%58 W · 192 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…2423backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 176 | 28.4%50 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…8ff9backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 26c | 989.07$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.53 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x518a…e507backed Yes | 5c | 959$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa657…00bfbacked Yes | 7c | 953.8$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.11 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes | 12c | 940.75$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.94 | 280 | 25.4%71 W · 209 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b0…e6d7backed No | 77c | 920$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.6 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6b…caeebacked Yes | 3c | 904$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2040backed Yes | 6c | 892$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes | 19c | 878.28$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.67 | 262 | 11.1%29 W · 233 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb104…10c9backed Yes | 14c | 866.29$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.37 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed No | 80c | 846.79$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.36 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 76c | 823.18$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.02 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06f5…878dbacked Yes | 3c | 814$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…b8f5backed Yes | 6c | 809$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435a…c529backed Yes | 27c | 790.27$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.37 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1b…67b1backed Yes | 15c | 787.39$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…7255backed Yes | 20c | 785.94$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.91 | 264 | 11.4%30 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…4466backed Yes | 24c | 779$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 423 | 12.5%53 W · 370 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9d…f0b7backed Yes | 6c | 723.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa47a…4b4cbacked Yes | 5c | 712$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked Yes | 14c | 706.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 109 | 17.4%19 W · 90 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed Yes | 26c | 699.98$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.99 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fef…fe37backed Yes | 5c | 690$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 6c | 689$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 670$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…6bd7backed Yes | 8c | 655.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 247 | 10.9%27 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x729e…e23ebacked Yes | 15c | 654.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 238 | 31.1%74 W · 164 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…1c1ebacked Yes | 5c | 647$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbea7…1a03backed Yes | 5c | 646$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…bd94backed Yes | 5c | 636$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…0d3dbacked No | 79c | 624.71$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.19 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc79…4f4ebacked Yes | 5c | 623$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfe…d542backed Yes | 4c | 599.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180f…0c07backed Yes | 13c | 599.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 599.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.