TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x34bf…26e7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
215
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Middle East, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 59 out of 100; worst Boxing at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT7939.2%31 W · 48 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$33.54
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.39
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.98
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$34.83
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.54
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.36
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+86%+$38.4
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.45
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.88
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.36
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$87.9
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$57.5
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$641Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$640.57
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.76
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.58
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.14
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.1
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$768Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$377.67
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$642Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$642.44
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$132.8
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.69
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.71
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$22.44
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT5554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.33
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.87
Wild vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.44
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$69.36
Wild vs. Lightningbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.99
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$737Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$433.09
Kraken vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$21.11
Flyers vs. Sharksbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+105.6%+$74.88
Sabres vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.41
Golden Knights vs. Predatorsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.31
Jets vs. Penguinsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.14
Ducks vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.09
Panthers vs. Flamesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.88
Devils vs. Capitalsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33.67
Canadiens vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$56.66
Rangers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$29.37
Islanders vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$76.66
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$210.44
Devils vs. Rangersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+95.2%+$25.59
Wild vs. Blackhawksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58%+$58.17
Sabres vs. Golden Knightsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+111.4%+$112.77
Lightning vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.48
Panthers vs. Canucksbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.67
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.07
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.83
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+659.8%+$974.31
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$937Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$936.73
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.35
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$524.34
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.11
Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$91.1
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.44
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$73.76
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.17
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.07
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.39
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$184.43
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.44
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.08
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.26
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.72
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+79.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$18.15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+515.8%+$5,751.49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$556.28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$524.41
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$679Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$678.85
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+209.1%+$516.72
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+605.5%+$709.2
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.05
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,246Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,246.26
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.66
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+375.3%+$156.89
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+47.1%+$26.66
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$377.99
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+185.7%+$54.16
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25.17
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$975.22
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.56
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,429Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,428.96
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.08
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.97
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.96
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.9
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.65
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.22
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.74
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.25
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.22
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+144.2%+$65.6
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.21
Bulls vs. Sunsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+185.7%+$27.3
All 14 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick9cpaid+107.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.75per pick26cpaid+444.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$17.52
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+733.3%+$209.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+158.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+149.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+398.2%+$218.01
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$190.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$450.73
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$101.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$678Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$677.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.