Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65827b1db87b3ba9ee8602699ee3f4c4888c4f9be3fc2f18429dca1890c5f1b9

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $444,211

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $444,211 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x45b8…2204backed Yes	0c	45,000$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	27	0%0 W · 27 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f25…66bfbacked Yes	0c	30,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	4c	16,531$653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$652.89	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes	0c	14,500$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5ef…016ebacked Yes	1c	14,315$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.69	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa43…d992backed Yes	1c	13,995$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.64	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9994…03ddbacked Yes	0c	13,540$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	112	4.5%5 W · 107 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x907d…20c4backed Yes	0c	11,687$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.37	71	0%0 W · 71 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9d9…5084backed Yes	0c	11,299$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.11	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.11per pick	14cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3585…6eadbacked Yes	0c	10,484$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.18	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	-33%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e63…e35cbacked Yes	0c	10,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed Yes	0c	8,635$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.9	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	3c	8,000$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25c2…08c7backed Yes	4c	7,950$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.68	86	19.8%17 W · 69 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	1c	7,311$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.65	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8aa…a2ccbacked Yes	14c	7,084$995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$995.07	75	36%27 W · 48 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	8c	6,500$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3921…7516backed Yes	0c	6,500$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	12c	6,151$751 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$751.28	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	6c	5,874$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	13c	5,616$730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$730.1	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	10c	5,456$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.89	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	10c	5,123$512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$512.41	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	5,078$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.5	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	6c	4,960$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.71	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	4,930$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.31	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	4,703$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.74	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	2c	4,567$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.96	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc47b…9843backed Yes	4c	4,510$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.88	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	13c	4,479$582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$582.09	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cea…a932backed Yes	7c	4,414$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.03	89	25.8%23 W · 66 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	4c	4,370$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.12	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…599ebacked Yes	1c	4,154$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.56	142	8.5%12 W · 130 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	4,087$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.09	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	10c	4,084$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425.44	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	13c	4,061$534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.78	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	7c	4,000$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	11c	3,902$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.82	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	3,899$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.62	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9873…c3a0backed Yes	1c	3,839$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.72	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	0c	3,799$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.53	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8402…bfa4backed Yes	13c	3,592$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ca6…0ae3backed Yes	0c	3,514$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.33	189	39.2%74 W · 115 L	+15.8wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x38f2…6534backed Yes	0c	3,508$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5a0…fb10backed Yes	1c	3,500$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	140	26.4%37 W · 103 L	+9.4wins	+0.07per pick	20cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	10c	3,300$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.99	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa1…256dbacked Yes	3c	3,269$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	23	13%3 W · 20 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes	0c	3,228$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.53	93	2.2%2 W · 91 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa14d…2563backed Yes	8c	2,994$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	145	15.9%23 W · 122 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d50…c26bbacked Yes	6c	2,866$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.28	114	16.7%19 W · 95 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e9…5625backed Yes	9c	2,763$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes	10c	2,708$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.86	80	6.3%5 W · 75 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…f3e8backed Yes	13c	2,683$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.24	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6aec…f062backed Yes	2c	2,389$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.17	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	11c	2,300$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.23	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	4c	2,277$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.02	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf10…8e43backed Yes	12c	2,148$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.19per pick	10cpaid	+237.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	4c	2,100$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.15	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92f4…678fbacked Yes	6c	2,006$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.17	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	3c	2,001$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.01	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	7c	2,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.95	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b7f…0380backed Yes	11c	2,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	36	13.9%5 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdd1…1829backed Yes	7c	1,972$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.18	84	9.5%8 W · 76 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf06d…26f7backed Yes	3c	1,967$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	110	11.8%13 W · 97 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dbb…28c0backed Yes	1c	1,873$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	2c	1,873$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.3	272	7%19 W · 253 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	5c	1,842$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.04	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	8c	1,826$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.1	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	6c	1,760$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.36	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9dc…6900backed Yes	15c	1,680$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.85	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-29%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	10c	1,654$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.82	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	7c	1,625$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41ce…12fdbacked Yes	12c	1,609$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.8	135	17.8%24 W · 111 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ee…6b9bbacked Yes	13c	1,551$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.63	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc429…bec8backed Yes	12c	1,547$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.15	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x801c…a025backed Yes	13c	1,450$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.5	52	11.5%6 W · 46 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b1…536dbacked Yes	14c	1,429$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	4c	1,374$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes	12c	1,341$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.58	238	19.3%46 W · 192 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-25%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	5c	1,330$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.8	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	1c	1,220$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.57	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	11c	1,192$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.47	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30e2…77e1backed Yes	15c	1,150$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.9	86	30.2%26 W · 60 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a0…7e4fbacked Yes	15c	1,146$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.04	133	18%24 W · 109 L	-7.7wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca28…ceb2backed Yes	10c	1,122$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes	1c	1,115$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	164	17.1%28 W · 136 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	12c	1,087$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8bb…b898backed Yes	2c	1,063$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes	8c	1,005$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.56	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda86…f276backed Yes	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x366c…5078backed Yes	2c	1,000$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes	13c	1,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e99…72a0backed Yes	9c	1,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	145	7.6%11 W · 134 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x671a…3b1ebacked Yes	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	48	16.7%8 W · 40 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf22f…7714backed Yes	10c	1,000$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	50	12%6 W · 44 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+79.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a0…b9eebacked Yes	10c	999.98$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	11c	999.98$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	3c	968.36$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.43	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event