Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8accc7dac2017d7dfd8b44f63d182e9cff8213b1f529d491e53cbccfb9402859

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $447,131

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $447,131 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8ca6…0ae3backed Yes	0c	58,486$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.46	189	39.2%74 W · 115 L	+15.8wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	2c	46,339$808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$807.88	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	6c	29,200$1,875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,874.59	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	5c	24,579$1,243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,243.06	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	2c	20,362$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.46	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	5c	15,470$795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$794.73	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	3c	13,797$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.2	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	11,938$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.18	1,060	8.4%89 W · 971 L	+29.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	4c	11,117$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.93	1,036	11.1%115 W · 921 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes	6c	10,424$622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$621.93	93	2.2%2 W · 91 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed Yes	0c	10,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfee2…6580backed Yes	6c	9,209$527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$527.24	210	28.6%60 W · 150 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes	4c	9,155$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.51	80	6.3%5 W · 75 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	6c	9,000$517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$516.93	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	3c	8,772$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.42	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	2c	7,703$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	5c	6,986$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.37	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	6c	5,358$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.39	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	2c	5,305$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.05	413	10.7%44 W · 369 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	5,206$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.42	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	4c	5,124$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.6	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x792a…b16dbacked Yes	0c	4,957$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	0%0 W · 5 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e19…3a62backed Yes	1c	4,740$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.92	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-81.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	4,640$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.65	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	2c	4,352$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.3	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	4c	4,047$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.31	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x801c…a025backed Yes	9c	3,843$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.7	52	11.5%6 W · 46 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	6c	3,771$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.73	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	4c	3,742$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.59	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	2c	3,667$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.39	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	3,600$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb25…4403backed Yes	2c	3,352$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	7c	3,232$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.96	351	12.8%45 W · 306 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	3,118$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.44	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	15c	3,115$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	5c	3,104$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.85	876	18.4%161 W · 715 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	10c	3,000$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.5	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	2c	3,000$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.5	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa06c…0861backed Yes	5c	2,893$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.4	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ce…12fdbacked Yes	13c	2,753$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.07	135	17.8%24 W · 111 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	3c	2,647$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.72	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	14c	2,631$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.43	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	2c	2,600$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.33	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa899…f68dbacked Yes	5c	2,589$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.35	86	10.5%9 W · 77 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	3c	2,493$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.26	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes	1c	2,469$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.4	301	10.3%31 W · 270 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33c6…6daabacked Yes	2c	2,300$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	1c	2,283$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.81	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	4c	2,220$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.54	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53e1…6a12backed Yes	12c	2,193$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.87	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+14%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	5c	2,161$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.02	879	17.2%151 W · 728 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8164…0813backed Yes	1c	2,060$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.85	277	7.9%22 W · 255 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b7a…4aa5backed Yes	7c	2,030$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.26	76	6.6%5 W · 71 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1efe…ac77backed Yes	6c	2,009$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.13	99	10.1%10 W · 89 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes	2c	2,000$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	226	10.6%24 W · 202 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	1c	2,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.99	797	11.3%90 W · 707 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41d0…e9f5backed Yes	1c	1,951$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	33	3%1 W · 32 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-87.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec8e…39b0backed Yes	4c	1,925$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	39	7.7%3 W · 36 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-28%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	1,922$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.08	328	1.2%4 W · 324 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	4c	1,920$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.42	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83a3…c878backed Yes	10c	1,874$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.79	67	19.4%13 W · 54 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	14c	1,864$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.4	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ee…6b9bbacked Yes	4c	1,773$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.22	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	2c	1,709$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe739…eeb5backed Yes	1c	1,655$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.37	133	17.3%23 W · 110 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	4c	1,596$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.31	1,040	13.7%142 W · 898 L	+38.1wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	2c	1,589$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3247…4254backed Yes	8c	1,510$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.59	79	13.9%11 W · 68 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…f409backed Yes	7c	1,508$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.85	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62f4…4064backed Yes	3c	1,500$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cc0…661bbacked Yes	1c	1,500$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	29cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	5c	1,432$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.8	574	20.9%120 W · 454 L	+9.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	3c	1,428$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.27	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6f9…fd9dbacked Yes	11c	1,401$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	47	14.9%7 W · 40 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Yes	14c	1,400$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.5	161	10.6%17 W · 144 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf71c…4dabbacked Yes	2c	1,397$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	115	7.8%9 W · 106 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbce8…b49bbacked Yes	9c	1,350$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.1	71	15.5%11 W · 60 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x172b…e2cdbacked Yes	19c	1,333$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248	82	36.6%30 W · 52 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe46…8b21backed Yes	8c	1,323$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.18	218	16.1%35 W · 183 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes	3c	1,313$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.04	176	5.1%9 W · 167 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	-19%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	9c	1,300$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	19c	1,294$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.69	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d42…6e4cbacked Yes	2c	1,276$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	64	3.1%2 W · 62 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes	8c	1,265$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.84	267	22.8%61 W · 206 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9523…56e0backed Yes	8c	1,253$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	59	8.5%5 W · 54 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a7a…af3ebacked Yes	5c	1,250$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.42	44	13.6%6 W · 38 L	-3.8wins	-0.09per pick	22cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46b4…72e9backed Yes	2c	1,250$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.86	51	21.6%11 W · 40 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes	3c	1,239$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.07	118	5.9%7 W · 111 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5830…f928backed Yes	5c	1,208$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.42	166	11.4%19 W · 147 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd97f…7813backed Yes	4c	1,207$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.4	159	28.3%45 W · 114 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbc0…a438backed Yes	1c	1,200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	24	0%0 W · 24 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f08…d690backed Yes	2c	1,200$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c6…0ea8backed Yes	16c	1,199$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.08	62	24.2%15 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec87…47cebacked Yes	17c	1,156$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.56	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+3.8wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x201a…3418backed Yes	7c	1,146$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.15	73	13.7%10 W · 63 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes	1c	1,140$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	129	14%18 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	2c	1,113$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd68b…fa13backed Yes	1c	1,092$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	44	4.5%2 W · 42 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa1…5aa4backed Yes	3c	1,074$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.37	66	24.2%16 W · 50 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	18cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	5c	1,069$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.73	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event