TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4e19…3a62

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-81.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.1
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.92
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.4
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.2
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.72
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,774Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,773.78
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,901Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+211%+$4,011.61
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,345Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,344.59
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$747Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$747.13
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$407.54
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.07
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,817Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,816.55
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$876Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$876.36
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
All 17 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team Lynx (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: Ivory vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Ivory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+676.6%+$99.32
Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs Power Rangers (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Cheeki_Breeki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.94
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - DreamLeague China Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs MODUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked MODUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Dota 2: Carstensz vs GLYPH (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Carstensz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.2
Dota 2: Team Essence vs WinteR SquadronS (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stagebacked Team Essence · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Dota 2: OG vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$112
Dota 2: Mideng Dreamer vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - DreamLeague China Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Mideng Dreamer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-54.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Elvina Kalievabacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$49
BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Sheltonbacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Barcelona Open: Reilly Opelka vs Ethan Quinnbacked Reilly Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.19
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Daria Kasatkina vs Ann Libacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
BMW Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked Marc-Andrea Huesler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
BMW Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
Barcelona Open: Ignacio Buse vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$53
Mexico City: Luka Pavlovic vs Stefano Napolitanobacked Stefano Napolitano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Sarasota: Yibing Wu vs Darwin Blanchbacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Francesco Maestrelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Francesco Maestrelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Mexico City: Stefano Napolitano vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.98
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.98
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$57.36
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$42.35
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
All 4 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick21cpaid+386.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick26cpaid+167.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.74
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$67
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
All 3 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$16.77
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$18.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Multan Sultansbacked Peshawar Zalmi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$40.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Unión win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.